April 16: C-19 UPDATE

KEY CHART: Daily New Deaths

2,490 Daily New Deaths Worldometer
Level from prior day  

1,103 in NY+NJ+CT   46% of Total US
DOWN slightly from prior day 


Cumulative U.S. Deaths 

Note: NYC added 3,700 “presumed” covid cases.  It appears that JHU has added (some of) those deaths to their numbers, but that Worldometer has not (to preserve continuity with prior data).  We’re trying to unscramble the impact on the historical comparisons.  For now, we’re just going with the Worldometer data.


IHME Model Cumulative US Death Projection:
68,841 by Aug. 4  Rev. UP 8,436 on 4/13


STATE DEATHS  Worldometer


  • NY+NJ+CT = 15,610  55% of US Total
       NY+NJ+CT = 10% U.S. Population
  • Top 12 Total = 24,115 85% of US Total
      Top 12 Average = 151 Deaths per Million
      Top 12 = 48% of U.S. Population
  • MD 349 Total Deaths  +47 DNDs

State-by-State Data – Top 12


Related Posts:

Flattening the COVID-19 curve

How will we know when we’ve turned the COVID-19 corner?

Did Trump pull a Br’er Rabbit on the Governors?

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