Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39

Which are the ones to watch?
=============

A loyal reader asked: The “Bottom 39” DND keeps rising, are there any particular states driving that?

So, I crunched some numbers looking at the past 3 weeks of data… May 3 until today (charts below).

During that period, there were 30,288 C-19 deaths in the U.S.

The Bottom 39 accounted for 8,601 of those deaths … that’s 28% of the total.

16 states (in the Bottom 39) had more than 200 deaths between May 3 and May 24.

Those 16 states accounted for 6,086 deaths … that’s 70% of the Bottom 39 total.

Note that:

  • The states near the top of the list of 16 are relatively large in population
  • Texas and North Carolina still have relatively low per capita death rates
  • Rhode Island and D.C. are low on the list of 16 (but in the Top 28) and have relatively high per capita death rates
  • Minnesota, Arizona, Mississippi, Iowa and New Mexico have more than doubled their death count since May 3

image

Here’s another cut at the data…

=============

Highest rate of Increase

Below are the 20 states in the Bottom 39 that have increased their total death counts by more than 70% since May 3.

8 of the 20 states have more than doubled their death counts … but, note that half of them (South Dakota, North Dakota, Utah and Nebraska) started the month with relatively low death counts …and have low per capita death rates (deaths per million residents)

image

=============

My take: Bottom 39 states to keep an eye on are Ohio, Texas,
Minnesota, Virginia, Mississippi, Iowa and New Mexico.

click to see ALL STATES COMPARATIVE DATA for May 3 to May 23

25 Responses to “Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39”

  1. May 25: C-19 Key NATIONAL Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] News & Views on Marketing, Economics & Politics « Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  2. Our slant on last week’s COVID news… | The Homa Files Says:

    […] Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 Which are the ones to watch? […]

  3. May 26: C-19 Key STATES Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] Bottom 39 Average = 118 Deaths/Million For details see Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  4. May 26: C-19 Key NATIONAL Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] IHME Model Cume US Death Projection: 143,357 by Aug. 4  Rev. DOWN 3,683 5/18 ============= click to see C-19 Key STATES Data,  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  5. May 27: C-19 Key STATES Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] Bottom 39 Average = 120 Deaths/Million For details see Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  6. May 27: C-19 Key NATIONAL Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] IHME Model Cume US Death Projection: 131,967 by Aug. 4  Rev. DOWN 11,390 5/25 ============= click to see C-19 Key STATES Data,  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  7. May 28: C-19 Key STATES Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] Bottom 39 Average = 123 Deaths/Million For details see Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  8. May 28: C-19 Key NATIONAL Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] IHME Model Cume US Death Projection: 131,967 by Aug. 4  Rev. DOWN 11,390 5/25 ============= click to see C-19 Key STATES Data,  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  9. May 29: C-19 Key STATES Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] Bottom 39 Average = 129 Deaths/Million For details see Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  10. May 29: C-19 Key NATIONAL Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] ============= click to see C-19 Key STATES Data,  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  11. May 31: Key NATIONAL Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] ============= click to see  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  12. June 1: C-19 Key NATIONAL Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] ============= click to see  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  13. June 2: C-19 Key NATIONAL Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] ============= click to see  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  14. June 3: C-19 Key NATIONAL Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] ============= click to see  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  15. June 3: C-19 Key STATES Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] Bottom 39 Average = 139 Deaths/Million For details see Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  16. June 4: C-19 Key NATIONAL & STATES Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] click to see  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  17. June 5: C-19 Key NATIONAL & STATES Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] click to see  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  18. June 6: C-19 Key NATIONAL & STATES Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] click to see  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  19. June 7: C-19 Key NATIONAL & STATES Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] click to see  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  20. June 8: C-19 Key NATIONAL & STATE Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] click to see  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  21. June 9: C-19 Key NATIONAL & STATES Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] click to see  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  22. June 10: C-19 Key NATIONAL & STATES Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] click to see  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  23. June 11: C-19 Key NATIONAL & STATES Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] click to see  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  24. June 12: C-19 Key NATIONAL & STATES Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] click to see  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

  25. June 13: C-19 Key NATIONAL & STATES Data | The Homa Files Says:

    […] click to see  C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]

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