Archive for October 22nd, 2020

Nums: A historical perspective on race relations in the U.S….

October 22, 2020

Controversial topic, but since Obama raised it yesterday while campaigning for Biden, let’s see what the data says.
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On the Biden campaign trail, Obama says that he (and Biden) eased the racial divide … and that Trump is blew the gap wide open.

What do the numbers day?

click graph to enlarge
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Well, according to Gallup, that’s only partially right…

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Oct. 22: Election Polls & Odds

October 22, 2020

Headlines: Final debate tonight. 
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Biden +7.5 in national polls
+4.1 in battlegrounds
60/40 in betting odds 

RCP – Poll of Polls – National
Biden 50.6  Trump 43.1   Lead 7.5
Undecided/Other 6.3

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>Trafalgar – Latest National Poll
Biden 47.5  Trump 46.4  Lead 1.1
Undecided/Other 6.1
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> RCP – Poll of Polls – Battlegrounds
Biden 49.4  Trump 45.3  Lead 4.1
Undecided/Other 5.4
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RCP – Betting Average  of 7 books’ odds
Biden 63.7   Trump 36.8   Lead 26.9

Trump Best:   49.7  49.8   + .1    Sept. 2
Biden Best :
   67.3  32.7  +39.7  Oct. 11

Predict It   online betting site
Biden 64  Trump 41   Lead 23

Trump Best Aug 31:   53 48 +7
Biden Prior Best Oct.11
: 66 39 +27

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538 – Chance of Winning  Nate Silver
Biden 87  Trump 13  Lead 74

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Oct. 22: C-19 Data Dashboard

October 22, 2020

227,315 Deaths-to-Date

1,131 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 784       (peak 2.229 April 23)

58,433  New Cases
> 7-day average  57,028

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Details below…

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