If the earth is warming, why isn’t Baltimore?

I hate to ruin a popular narrative with actual data, but…
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Like much of the U.S., the Baltimore area (where I live) was enduring a heatwave in July.

It was hot enough that, even I, momentarily thought: “Maybe the earth really is warming.”

Then, I got my monthly electricity bill from BGE (Baltimore Gas & Electric).

Besides usage info, BGE reports the average monthly temperature, for the current and prior years (the red boxes)

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As Gomer Pyle would say, “surprise, Surprise, SURPRISE”.

The average July temperature this year (including the heat wave) was 78 degrees … down 2 degrees from last year’s 80 degrees.

A fluke?

I looked back at my July 2021 bill…

It confirmed the 80 degree average in July 2021 … and reported that the average temperature in July 2020 was 83 degrees … 5 degrees HOTTER than this year’s July average.

Hmm.

So, I pulled some more data from my BGE file…

Below are the average monthly temperatures in Baltimore for January to July in years 2020, 2021 and 2022 (as reported by BGE).

image

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What does the data show?

  • Again, this year (July 2022) was 2 degrees colder that July 2021 and 5 degrees colder than July 2020
  • More broadly, comparing year-to-year temperature by month, all 2022 monthly temperatures were equal to or colder than 2020 temperatures … and,  only one month —  February 2022 — was hotter than the prior year’s temperature (40 degrees to 36 degrees) … all other months in 2022 were colder than their comparable months in 2021.
  • The 2022 7-month average (Jan to July) was 1.7 degrees colder in July 2022 than it was in July 2021 …. and 2.9 degrees colder than it was in July 2020

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My take

  • It’s conceivable that BGE’s data collection is wrong … or that Baltimore is a complete outlier that’s not representative of the rest of the earth …. but, I doubt it.
  • The data probably doesn’t indicate that the earth is cooling … but, it sure as hell doesn’t support a global warming narrative.
  • Somebody’s gotta explain to me: if the data shows that my average   local temperatures have dropped almost 3 degrees in 2 years — why should I believe (with near certainty) that the earth will be a couple of degrees hotter in 50 or a hundred years if I keep driving my SUV.

This circle doesn’t square…

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