Archive for January 13th, 2009

The economic crisis in a nutshell …

January 13, 2009

Ken’s Take: This guy has really cut through to the essence of the economic crisis. Of course, problem identification is always easier than problem solution.

Still, simply memorize the following synopsis and you’ll impress folks at cocktail parties

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This economic crisis consists of three parts:

  • Mountains of bad loans, which are weighing down banks and other financial institutions
  • Rapid retrenchment by businesses, which is causing them to cut jobs and investment
  • Trillions of dollars in excess consumer debt, which is forcing households to cut back on spending.

These three factors together are feeding on each other:

  • Because banks are lending less, it’s harder for businesses and consumers to spend.
  • Because businesses are cutting workers so quickly, loan defaults are rising and it’s harder for consumers to pay back debt, and
  • Because consumer debt has risen from 96% of disposable income in 2000 to 130% of disposable income today, Americans are completely maxed out.
  • As a result, any job cuts immediately mean more loan defaults.

Excerpted from Business Week, Why Big Tax Cuts Are Essential, January 10, 2009
http://www.businessweek.com/the_thread/economicsunbound/archives/2009/01/why_big_tax_cut.html?chan=top+news_top+news+index+-+temp_news+%2B+analysis

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Michigan wants $2 billion for batteries … makes sense

January 13, 2009

Excerpted from WSJ: “UAW, Bondholder Talks Slow GM’s Revamp”, Jan.Y 13, 2009

Michigan Gov. Granholm … is looking to offer big incentives to car-battery companies and other suppliers to that industry to locate in her state.

Ms. Granholm said that as much as $2 billion in aid to the battery industry could be included in a stimulus package from the Obama administration.

Batteries have been one of the biggest hurdles for U.S.-based electric and hybrid vehicle manufacturers. Lithium-ion car batteries are made in volume in Japan, Korea and China, and auto makers have been concerned that if battery supplies tighten, Asian car makers will dominate access to the technology.

Full article:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123178365916774153.html

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Ken’s Take: Batteries are the key (and most costly) component in hybrid electric cars.  Currently, virtually no car-power batteries are made in the US.  It’s strategically critical that they are.  Otherwise, we trade one foreign dependency for another.

Reminder: Virtually no lithium is mined in the US.  Most comes from South America: Argentina, Chile, and Bolivia.

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Selling power, speed, and sex … (to utilitarians)

January 13, 2009

Excerpted from Marketing Daily, “Mintel To Mad Ave: Can The Sexy Car Ads” by Karl Greenberg, December 4, 2008

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Most consumers don’t see their cars as a chariot of the gods, a freedom machine, a wheeled camel for Lawrence of Arabia, an automatic chick/hunk magnet, or portable fountain of youth.
Instead, they view their vehicles simply as functional and safe for getting around…

Mintel says its survey of car owners suggests that what most people actually feel behind the wheel, regardless of the name on the sheet metal is: responsible and practical, not sexy or powerful…Mintel asked consumers: “How do you feel when you are driving?” Three of the top four feelings chosen by respondents had to do with utility and security, per the firm, with 46% saying they felt “responsible”; 40% saying “safe”; and 37% saying they felt “practical.”

The more amorphous sentiments started further down, with 39% saying “happy” was the thing they felt behind the wheel…near the bottom of the list landed “powerful,” “fast,” and “sexy.” The bottom of the list was “rich”…60% believe the main purpose of a vehicle is to get from point A to point B…

“We found that for most people, driving a car or truck does not make them feel sexy, fast or powerful…The problem is that the auto industry is built on selling power, speed and sex. Those images are dynamic, but they don’t necessarily resonate with the majority of utilitarian, safety-focused drivers.”

Mintel also found that the top information sources that people use when researching new vehicles are word-of-mouth, car dealer brochures, consumer buying guides and the Internet.

Edit by SAC

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If car ads are meant to convey the “behind the wheel feeling,” they are missing the mark according to Mintel’s new study.  Most ads feature fast, sexy cars gliding around winding roads rather than practical, responsible drivers running daily errands safely.  However it is not clear from this study whether the “feeling behind the wheel” is motivating purchase.  While a driver may seek to feel safe and responsible behind the wheel ,the same driver may want the exterior of the car to scream fast, sexy and powerful.

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Full Article:
http://www.mediapost.com/publications/?fa=Articles.showArticle&art_aid=96019

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Some brands die … and some dead ones come back to life

January 13, 2009

Excerpted from Brandchannel, “Brand Darwinism: When & Why Brands Falter & Die” By Barry Silverstein, Dec 22, 2008
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Much like living organisms, brands have a lifecycle…While some brands stand the test of time, others fade away soon after they come to market. What happens when it’s time for brands to die, and why?

A primary reason for brand fragility is the very nature of the brand world. Consider this: in 2006, over 20,000 new products were introduced just in the food and beverage category…While many new products may be extensions of an existing brand, imagine the number of new brand names embedded in that statistic… Fewer than 10% of all new products and services produce enough return on a company’s investment to survive past the third year

Despite these enormous challenges, there are timeless brands that not only survive but thrive for decades. These brands remain relevant to consumers, and they consistently capture enough market share to prosper, even in tough economic times. But what about the brands that falter?

Some companies intentionally kill off older or weaker brands as part of their brand strategy. Ice cream maker Ben & Jerry’s is a case in point…the company regularly discontinues ice cream flavors in an effort to keep their stable of brands fresh and relevantBen & Jerry’s may treat the brand lifecycle with irreverence, but marketing managers at other companies who are forced to kill off a brand are likely not amused. After all, they invest considerable corporate resources in the brand launch. And their budgets—or maybe even their jobs—could become vulnerable when a brand dies…

The same kinds of painful decisions will soon by made by recently bailed-out American automobile manufacturers. The Big Three currently market over 100 different car and truck models through 15 different brands in the US…The problem for G.M. and other companies that must eliminate popular, long-standing brands is complex. While consumers may intellectually understand that brands don’t last forever, they get emotionally attached to them…

Another major reason brands die is the continuous upheaval that occurs in the brand world…when business conditions change. One of the most notorious contributors to brand mortality is business mergers and acquisitions…Each time a merger or acquisition occurs, a brand with a history, a significant market presence and a loyal following may disappear…

Whether it is declining sales, poor economic conditions or corporate mergers, brands will continue to die off, and some consumers will grieve their loss.

A recent he latest branding wrinkle is the marketing opportunity dead brands represent. In 2008, for example, Kellogg reintroduced a cookie brand called Hydrox, a competitor to Oreo that was discontinued in 2003…Kellogg may have decided it was less expensive to revive an old cookie brand with name recognition than launch one anew.

Apparently, reintroducing dead brands is a legitimate business…So don’t be surprised if, when a brand dies, you see it come to life again someday.

Edit by SAC

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Full Article:
http://www.brandchannel.com/start1.asp?fa_id=455

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