Uh Oh … Obama’s PAI Drops to +2 … negative by the end of the week ?

Sunday’s Rasmussen Report pegged President Obama’s Approval Index (the difference between “top box” Strong Approvers a,d “Bottom box” Strong Disapprovers) at +2 …  the lowest during the Obama presidency — down from +30 just after the inauguration.

Obama’s Total Approval (Strong Approvers plus Somewhat Approvers) has been relatively stable at 55% … down from about 65% right after the inauguration.  (Note: Total Approval is what most news organizations report)

Obama’s Strong Approval has fallen from about 45% to 34% … while his Strong Disapproval has increased from 15% to 32% … netting out at the current PAI of +2

Possible explanations for the declining PAI:

(1) liberals disappointment with the pace of he Iraq withdrawal and the intensification of Afghanistan

(2) moderates concerns that Obama does not intend to “move to the middle”

(3) Catholics’ “wake up call” regarding abortion rights — fueled in part by the Notre Dame controversy

(4) broadscale concern regarding the current spending spree and concentrated concern re: cap & trade in coal mining states 

(5) mixed reviews re: the European trip — with liberals coining it a “refreshing reset” and conservatives tagging it a “mea culpa tour” 

(6) the declaration — during the Easter week run-up — that the U.S. is not a Christian nation.

Ken’s Take: this Wednesday’s Taxpayer Tea Parties — hyped by conservative media and totally ignored by liberal media — will cause a visible stir … and Obama’s PAI will go negative at the end of the week.

image 
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/obama_approval_index_history

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