Romney has the experience — in business, in government. But, he’s flip-flopped on abortion rights … and, did I mention that he’s a Mormon ?
While pundits say his religious affiliation is a big negative, I disagree.
It has nothing to do with theology. It has everything to do with demographics and logistics.
Obama will take over 90% the African-American vote (unless McCain lands Colin Powell, in which case, all bets are off). But, there are relatively few states where Obama’s segment-domination will matter — since most of the states are solidly Democratic anyway.
While the Mormon population is smaller, and concentrated in a few states, some are battleground states that can potentially swing the election: Nevada. Montana, Colorado, New Mexico. And, there are “statistically significant” Mormon populations in Hawaii, Oregon, Washington — which could conceivably be thrown back into play.
The Mormons are legendary for their focused zeal and executional discipline — as evidenced by their missionary effectiveness. Can you imagine if that force is thrown behind a get out the vote effort in a few swing states?
And, did I mention Michigan ?
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Source : http://www.electoral-vote.com/
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August 26, 2008 at 3:01 pm |
Prof.
I am not a Mitt fan, even a little. I am pulling for Sarah Palin. I think she would be the wild card pick that could really shake up the race and make the push for the female vote very difficult for the O team. Moreover she is more in line with Macs philosophy. It is widely known that Mac and Mitt don’t like each other however you make a very convincing argument that it will be Mitt because I think this race comes down to Colorado. I have played with the numbers back and forth and it looks like CO is the key state. Hence the DEM convention there. I know that a lot of people think Virgina will decide this election but the truth is that if O wins Virgina the race is over very early in the night b/c Ohio and PA will likely fall into his column also. CO on the other hand could swing either way due to its indecisive nature.
August 27, 2008 at 3:45 pm |
Given that the economy is the considered the most important election issue, McCain should pick someone who has a good economic track record. I don’t think McCain needs some in line with his philosophy…it is that very philosophy that is turning a lot of conservative voters away. I think Romney would be a good pick (and for full disclosure, I am Mormon), even though I also think there are a number of other good picks, albeit with much less name recognition.