Ken’s Take: Soaking the rich to cover governmental deficits has become the cure of choice — both Federally and in in high deficit states. And, budget projections assume that the rich folks will just bend over — stay where they are, report the same earnings and just suck it up.
The problem is “behavioral economics” — when the game changes, people adjust to rearrange the gameboard to their best advantage. To adjust to higher marginal rates people of means often shift income to lower tax alternatives (low tax locales, tax-free investments). So, the taxing body (states or Feds) don’t end up realizing much of the anticipated gains.
Below are highlights from an article that spells out the effect …
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Excerpted from WSJ, “Soak the Rich, Lose the Rich”, May 18, 2009
Americans know how to use the moving van to escape high taxes.
Here’s the problem for states that want to pry more money out of the wallets of rich people. It never works because people, investment capital and businesses are mobile: They can leave tax-unfriendly states and move to tax-friendly states.
Americans are more sensitive to high taxes than ever before. The tax differential between low-tax and high-tax states is widening, meaning that a relocation from high-tax California or Ohio, to no-income tax Texas or Tennessee, is all the more financially profitable both in terms of lower tax bills and more job opportunities.
From 1998 to 2007, more than 1,100 people every day including Sundays and holidays moved from the nine highest income-tax states such as California, New Jersey, New York and Ohio and relocated mostly to the nine tax-haven states with no income tax, including Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire and Texas. We also found that over these same years the no-income tax states created 89% more jobs and had 32% faster personal income growth than their high-tax counterparts.
There are three unintended consequences from states raising tax rates on the rich.
First, some rich residents sell their homes and leave the state;
Second, those who stay in the state report less taxable income on their tax returns; and
Third, some rich people choose not to locate in a high-tax state.
Since many rich people also tend to be successful business owners, jobs leave with them or they never arrive in the first place.
Full article:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124260067214828295.html
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