Archive for August 24th, 2009

Deficit estimate upped 28% to $9 trillion … that’s trillion with a “t”

August 24, 2009

Late Friday afternoon – after the weekly new cycle – Team Obama admitted that the CBO and external economists are right: the projected 10 year budget deficit looks ,ore like $ 9 trillion than $ 7 trillion. 

I guess the administration thinks the $ 2 trillion difference – a whopping 28% increase – is simply “rounding error”.

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Reuters, Obama to raise 10-year deficit to $9 trillion,  Aug 21, 2009

The Obama administration will raise its 10-year budget deficit projection to approximately $9 trillion from $7.108 trillion in a report next week, a senior administration official told Reuters on Friday.

The higher deficit figure, based on updated economic data, brings the White House budget office into line with outside estimates and gives further fuel to President Barack Obama’s opponents, who say his spending plans are too expensive in light of budget shortfalls.

The White House took heat for sticking with its $7.108 trillion forecast earlier this year after the Congressional Budget Office forecast that deficits between 2010 and 2019 would total $9.1 trillion.

The White House budget office will also lower its deficit forecast for this fiscal year, which ends September 30, to $1.58 trillion from $1.84 trillion next week after removing $250 billion set aside for bank bailouts.

Record-breaking deficits have raised concerns about America’s ability to finance its debt and whether the United States can maintain its top-tier AAA credit rating.

Treasury markets have been worried all year about the mounting deficit. The United States relies on large foreign buyers such as China and Japan to cheaply finance its debt, and they may demand higher interest rates if they begin to doubt that the government can control its deficits.

“It’s one of those underlying pieces of news that is liable to haunt the bond market at some point in the future.”

Many economists think it is unlikely the government will curtail spending, which means taxes would have to go up to cover the rising costs.

Higher taxes, of course, could slow economic recovery and growth.

Source article:
http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSTRE57K4XE20090821

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Note: the $9 trillion doesn’t include the proposed $1 trillion cost of ObamaCare. Ouch.

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Mandating that everybody carries health insurance … so, how’s that going to work?

August 24, 2009

I’m in favor of mandating that everybody carry catastrophic health insurance. 

For example, forcing a young, healthy adult to carry insurance to cover the possibility of unexpected serious illness or accident makes perfect sense to me.

I’m indifferent re: making them carry basic coverage for run-of-the-mill maladies like the occasional sore throat.  If they want to self-insure on those incidents, so be it.

What most puzzles me is how Team Obama plans to enforce the health insurance mandate. 

How will the people without insurance be identified?  How much will the fines be?  What if they can’t afford the fines?

For example, what about illegal immigrants?  (Note: despite the rhetoric to the contrary, they are in the 47 million uninsureds). The government (national and local) refuses to enforce employment laws or to check immigration status upon arrest (for non-immigration crimes). 

Will we profile folks,  stop them and ask them to present their insurance cards?  I doubt it.

So, when and where will folks have to provide proof of insurance?

For mortgages, lenders require proof of home insurance.

For auto insurance, it happens when cars are registered (though people can lie), and when there’s a traffic violation.

But for health insurance, what’s the mechanism that will be put in place?

I can’t imagine any practical way of enforcing the law … and the pontificators certainly haven’t served any up. My bet: it’ll be in the ERs when people show up for treatment – which, of course, they will get.

If anybody knows the answer, please post a reply.

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One idea: require proof of health insurance coverage at the voting booth …

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Networking basics … from an MSB MBA alum.

August 24, 2009

Jen Folsom – one of my fav MSB MBA alums* —   is the DC Metropolitan area Director of Momentum Resources, a boutique staffing firm specializing in placing professionals in flexible and reduced hours positions with smart organizations.

Most of her candidates are working mothers, seeking a more positive work-life balance, but she also works with many fathers.

Her 5 minute pitch on networking is worth listening to …

* Note: I know that I’m not supposed to have favorites, but her twin boys named their stuffed animals Captain & Skipper … that’s special !

 

Also see:
http://www.heelsconnect.com/portal/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=207:featuring-jennifer-folsom&catid=38:featured-workingwomen&Itemid=66

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