Archive for October 18th, 2011

Squeezing Buffett’s numbers … Part 2

October 18, 2011

In Part 1, we looked hard at Buffett’s effective income tax rate (17.4%).

We tested the conventional wisdom that the rate is low because Buffett gets practically all of his income from capital gains and dividends.

Maybe and maybe not.

We showed that, in fact, almost half of Buffett’s income could be from ordinary income and he’d still pay the low rate.

Why?

Because deductions are first applied to higher taxed income (think ordinary income @ 35%) and then to lower taxed capital gains.

Buffett could, in effect, be getting his ordinary income tax-free.

Let’s dig a little deeper on Warren’s tax data.

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The key numbers: AGI = $53 million, Deductions (aka. “loopholes”= $23, Taxable Income =$40 million, and taxes = $7 million … 17.4%

Let’s think about the deductions for a moment

Some pundits have theorized that many of the deductions are “interest on investment borrowing”, suggesting that Buffett buys a lot of his holdings on margin.

I don’t think so.

First, he’s a frugal guy who doesn’t strike me as margin kind of guy.

Second, interest rates are essentially zero … especially for a big hitter like Buffett … and zero times any balance is, well, zero.

Third, Buffett himself says it ain’t so.

He says the roughly $23 million difference between his AGI and taxable income is due largely to deductions he took for charitable giving and local taxes.

Let’s do taxes first.

Nebraska state income taxes have a max marginal rate of just under 7%.  So, Buffett probably pays about $3 million in state & local taxes.

That leaves about $20 million in charitable deductions.  It’s oft reported that many of those donations go to the Gates Foundation.

We’ll come back to the charitable deductions in a subsequent post.

We’re not saying they’re necessarily good or bad … just remember the $20 million number.

* * * * *
Next up: How does the 17.4% compare to ordinary folks?  And, is it the right  number to focus on?

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How to keep the flab off …

October 18, 2011

Most folks have dieted at one time or another to shed a few pounds.

Inevitably, the pounds creep back.

But, according to a place called the National Weight Control Registry, regaining lost weight isn’t inevitable:

Some people are able to lose a substantial amount of weight and keep it off at least a decade.

Here’s how they do it:

  • Track their food intake.
  • Count calorie or fat grams or use a commercial weight-loss program to track food intake.
  • Follow a low-calorie, low-fat diet … about 1,800 calories a day with less than 30% of calories from fat.
  • Eat breakfast regularly.
  • Limit the amount they eat out … dining out an average of three times a week and eating fast food less than once a week.
  • Eat similar foods regularly with no binging on holidays and special occasions.
  • Walk about an hour a day or burn the same calories with other activities.
  • Watch fewer than 10 hours of TV a week.
  • Weigh themselves at least once a week.

OK,  I’ll start by having breakfast … the rest can come later.

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