The streak rolls on: BLS under-reports initial unemployment claims … again!

Still again …

Now we’re up to 75 out of 76 weeks — and, at least 16 weeks in a row — that the BLS’s “headline number” has under-reported the number of initial unemployment claims … and cast the jobs situation as brighter than it really is.

Based on last Thursday’s BLS report, the number for the week ending August 17 was revised upward from 366,000 to 368,000.

In itself, the 2,000 isn’t a big deal.

But, in context it is

Again, I ask: statistical bias or political bias?

If the former: fix it already, BLS.

Hint to BLS: just add 2k or .8% to your prelim forecast !


* * * * *

Almost forgot … the preliminary unemployment claims for the week of Aug. 18 are up 6K vs. the Aug. 11 preliminary number and up 4K vs the revised Aug. 11 number.

In other words, no indication that a corner has been turned.


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