The Homa Files

We’ll sort out the bragging rights when the dust settles … but, for the record:

3 polls give the nod to Romney: Rasmussen, Gallup, and NPR.

• That’s interesting since one leans center-right (Rasmussen), one leans center-left (Gallup), and one leans left (NPR)

6 polls give the nod to Obama: IBD/TIPP, ABC/WashPost, NBC/WSJ, Pew, CBS/NYT, National Journal.

• IBD leans right, Pew is down the middle, other 4 lean left

4 polls call it a tie: Politico/Battleground, CNN, Monmouth, Fox

• Politico leans left, CNN leans center-left, Fox leans right, and I have no idea re: Monmouth

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Nate Silver is calling it a landslide for Obama: 313 to 225; 50.8 % of popular vote; 90.9% chance of winning.

Intrade & Betfair have Obama a heavy favorite … 73.4 to 26.5.

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Michael Barone calls it a landslide for Romney 315 to 223.

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Homa Files calls for Romney to win the popular vote 51.5% to 48.5% …. and win about 285 electoral votes.

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Data

This entry was posted on November 6, 2012 at 5:15 pm and is filed under 2012 Campaign, Polls & Surveys. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.