Reason #6: What’s the earth’s temperature?
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I’m neither a denier nor a zealot … so, according to British writer (& phrase-coiner) Matt Ridley, I’m a “lukewarmer”.
In a prior posts, I covered: (1) Unsettling science (2) Expired doomsday predictions (3) The “97% of scientists” baloney (4) Dinking with the data and (5) Temperature readings – plus or minus
Let’s move on…
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Reason #6: What’s the earth’s temperature?
Climate “scientists” are confidently forecasting temperatures to to fractional degrees … 50 or 100 years out.
Contrast that to a local DC TV station which promotes a 3-degree forecast guarantee for the next day’s high temperature.
That is, if the next day’s high temperature at a specific measurement location (think, Reagan Airport) falls within a specified 6-degree band (the forecast plus or minus 3 degrees), the weatherman lays claim to another successful forecast.
The success rate is about 90% … or conversely:
The weather guy misses about 10% of the time on a next day temperature forecast … despite a robust 6-degree forecast range.
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The Washington Post took an interesting swipe at the 3-degree guarantee:
The Homa Files 