The Homa Files

It’s now crystal clear that one of the great fails of the C-19 response was not recognizing that nursing homes would be underprepared hot spots … and then taking all-out action to contain the carnage among the most vulnerable subset of the population.

How bad has the carnage been?

According to an analysis compiled by the CTUP(The Committee to Unleash Prosperity):

Over half of C-19 deaths have befallen residents of nursing homes, veterans’ homes and other long-term care facilities … resulting in the death of over 2% of of the population in those facilities.

See the statistical  note at the end of this post.

The percentage of reported long-term care (LTC) deaths ranges from a low of 20% in Nevada to over 80% in Minnesota.

Note: For convenience, we lump nursing homes, veterans’ homes and other long-term care facilities into a single category that we refer to as “LTC”

The reported death rate (ratio of LTC deaths to the LTC population) is below 1/2% in about 1/2 of reporting states, but ranges as a high as 11.4% in New Jersey.

Here’s more state-by-state detail…

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States with 1,000 or more C-19 Deaths


Note: Excludes NY which is reported in the above summary exhibit.

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States with more than 50% of deaths in LTC facilities

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States with an LTC death rate greater than 2% of the LTC resident population.

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click for ALL STATES DATA
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Statistical notes: CTUP has done yeoman’s work trying to compile and  “clean” the data, but …

• 9 states don’t report data (Alaska, Arizona, Hawaii, Idaho,  Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, Vermont, Wyoming)
• Reporting is inconsistent across states, requiring adjustments to normalize the data
• New York is a special case given its disproportionate representation in C-19 deaths and known underreporting of nursing home deaths.

This entry was posted on May 14, 2020 at 10:00 am and is filed under Coronavirus - Covid 19. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.