Place your bet before reading on…
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Some interesting numbers from the most recent BLS “Union Members Summary”:
> The union membership rate — the percent of wage and salary workers who were members of unions — was 10.1% in 2022
That’s down slightly from the 10.3% in 2021 … but half the 20.1% rate in 1983 — the first year where comparable union data was collected and reported
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> In 2022, 30% of the 14.3 million union members lived in just two states: California (2.6 million) and New York (1.7 million).
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> The union membership rate of public-sector workers (33.1%) is more than five times higher than the 6% rate for private-sector workers.
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> The highest unionization rates in 2022 were 34.6% in “protective service occupations (think: police & fire) and 33.7% in education (think: public school teachers)
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> Among full-time wage and salary workers, union members had median usual weekly earnings 18% higher than nonunion workers ($1,216 to $1,029).
But, those wage differentials are largely attributable to the concentration of union workers in high cost-of-living states (i.e. CA, NY and NJ).
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For the record, I pegged the unionization rate way high at 20% to 25%.
How did you do?