Archive for October 31st, 2008

The runaway train and other musings …

October 31, 2008

Some things to think about ….

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“Whoever is elected Tuesday, his freedom in office will be limited. Mr. Obama is out of money and Mr. McCain is out of army, so what might be assumed to be the worst impulses of each — big spender, big scrapper — will be circumscribed by reality.”

“For Mr. Obama, whose mind tends, as intellectuals’ minds do, toward the abstract, it all seems so . . . abstract. And cold. And rather suggestive of radical departures.”

From WSJ,  Obama and the Runaway Train, Oct. 31, 2008
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122539802263585317.html

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“Bush’s failure should not be counted as a failure of markets or capitalism. And even if it were, history shows us that the failures of capitalism are a lot more fun than the absence of capitalism.”

“You know, once upon a time, the stated purpose of taxation was to fund public needs — such as schools and roads — assist those who could not help themselves, defend our security and freedom, and yes, occasionally offer bailouts to sleazy fat cats.

Obama is the first major presidential candidate in memory to assert that taxation’s principal purpose should be redistribution.

The proposition that government should take one group’s lawfully earned profits and hand them to another group — not a collection of destitute or impaired Americans, mind you, but a still-vibrant middle class — is the foundational premise of Obama’s fiscal policy.”

From “If It Redistributes Like a Duck…”, David Harsanyi,
October 31, 2008
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/10/if_it_redistributes_like_a_duc.html

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“McCain wants to free up health insurance by beginning to sever its debilitating connection to employment — a ruinous accident of history (arising from World War II wage and price controls) that increases the terror of job loss, inhibits labor mobility and saddles American industry with costs that are driving it (see: Detroit) into insolvency.”

From McCain for President, Part II, Charles Krauthammer, October 31, 2008
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/10/neither_candidate_an_economic.html

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Is that a bullseye on the back of investors ?

October 31, 2008

Excerpted from US News & World Report, Why Democrats Will Target the Investor Class in 2009, James Pethokoukis, October 30, 2008

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There are at least two pretty effective ways to turn someone into a Republican: (1) get them married with kids and (2) get them to invest in the stock market.

That’s why (there) may well bring a concerted and all-out effort by the Obama administration and a Democratically dominated Congress to turn the generally pro-Republican Investor Class into an endangered class by, among other tactics, raising investment taxes and ending the tax preferences for 401(k)’s, IRAs, and other retirement accounts.

Here is the emerging battle plan for Operation Investor Class Rollback:

1) Hike Investment Taxes. Obama wants to raise capital gains taxes even though he has kinda, sorta admitted that it might be bad for the economy and might actually decrease tax revenue to the government. For now, he’s talking about raising the highest cap gains rate by one third to 20 percent, though earlier in the campaign, he floated pushing it as high as 28 percent, a near doubling. With the next administration facing a trillion dollar budget deficit—maybe more—there will certainly be pressure to raise taxes to higher levels than now being suggested.

2) Eliminate 401(k)’s, IRAs, and other retirement plans. Democrats in the House are now talking openly about the longtime liberal dream of repealing the tax advantages of putting money into a 401(k) plan or other tax-advantaged retirement account.  In place of 401(k) plans, they would have workers transfer their dough into government-created “guaranteed retirement accounts” with a 3 percent real return.

Not only would removing the preferential tax treatment of these vehicles raise investment taxes by $100 billion a year and affect Americans making less than $100,000, it would surely prompt many Americans, already shell-shocked by the market’s recent losses, to flee stocks. All this ignores the fact that there are trillions of dollars in American retirement accounts, and abandoning the higher-returning stock market at a probable bottom is classic financial foolishness.

3) Replace private capital with public capital. But wouldn’t a weak stock market hurt the economy by making it tougher to raise investment capital and lessen the return on risk? Surely, it would. But Obama is planning hundreds of billions of dollars of government “investment” in cutting-edge technology, particularly in the energy and healthcare sectors.  Now, the private VC industry is already pouring billions into alternative energy, but Obama thinks that’s not enough and wants Uncle Sam to get in on the action at taxpayer expense.

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Bottom line: All this makes smart political sense for Democrats. See, since the mid-1960s, stock ownership in the United States has risen from 10 percent of households to around 50 percent. And that growing Investor Class, a term coined and popularized by CNBC commentator and host Lawrence Kudlow, has helped nudge America evermore to the right.

But now if the Democrats control both the White House and Capitol Hill, look for them to move hard in the other direction, from an Ownership Society to a Government Owns It Society that would perhaps nudge America back to the left.

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Full article:
http://www.usnews.com/blogs/capital-commerce/2008/10/30/why-democrats-will-target-the-investor-class-in-2009.html?s_cid=rss:capital-commerce:why-democrats-will-target-the-investor-class-in-2009

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Pitch Tips: Keys to Wowing an Audience

October 31, 2008

Excerpted from: “Deliver a Presentation Like Steve Jobs – A framework you can use to wow your audience,” by Carmine Gallo,  Business Week. January 25, 2008 

“When Apple CEO Steve Jobs speaks, he raises the bar on presentation skills. While most presenters simply convey information, Jobs also inspires — selling the steak and the sizzle at the same time. I analyzed one of his latest presentation and extracted the 10 elements that you can combine to dazzle your own audiences.”:

1. Set the theme. Once you identify your theme, make sure you deliver it several times throughout your presentation. 

2. Demonstrate enthusiasm. Most speakers have room to add some flair to their presentations. Remember, your audience wants to be wowed, not put to sleep. Next time you’re crafting or delivering a presentation, inject your own personality into it. If you think something is “awesome,” say so. Most speakers get into presentation mode and feel as though they have to strip the talk of any fun. If you are not enthusiastic about your topic, how do you expect your audience to be? 

3. Provide an outline. “There are four things I want to talk about today. So let’s get started…” Open and close each of the sections and make clear transitions in between. Make lists and provide your audience with guideposts along the way. 

4. Make numbers meaningful. Give them perspective, e.g. “one every 15 seconds”, “enough to fill a stadium”, “more than the 3 biggest competitors combined  —  to demonstrate just how impressive they actually are. Numbers don’t mean much unless they are placed in context. Connect the dots for your listeners. 

5. Give ’em an unforgettable moment. This is the part of your presentation that everyone will be talking about. What is the one memorable moment of your presentation? Identify it ahead of time and build up to it. 

6. Create visual slides. Most speakers fill their slides with data, text, and charts.  Inspiring presenters are short on bullet points and big on graphics — simple images and short phrases.  

7. Give ’em a show. Instead of simply delivering information, give your audience a show that  .  Include video clips, demonstrations, and comments from the audience. 

8. Don’t sweat the small stuff. Despite your best preparation, something might go wrong .  Many presenters get flustered over minor glitches. Don’t sweat minor mishaps. Have fun. Few will remember a glitch unless you call attention to it. 

9. Sell the benefit.  Remember that your listeners are always asking themselves, “What’s in it for me?” Answer the question. Don’t make them guess. Clearly state the benefit of every service, feature, or product. 

10. Rehearse, rehearse, rehearse. Take nothing for granted, especially if you’re using multimedia.  Run everything through its paces. A  presentation looks effortless when it is well-rehearsed. 

Carmine Gallo is a communications coach and author of the book “Fire Them Up” . 
http://www.businessweek.com/print/smallbiz/content/jan2008/sb20080125_269732.htm

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P&G’s Innovation Culture

October 31, 2008

Excerpted from Strategy + Business, “P&G’s Innovation Culture”
by A.G. Lafley,
Autumn 2008

The heart of a company’s business model should be game-changing innovation. This is not just the invention of new products and services, but the ability to systematically convert ideas into new offerings that alter the very context of the business.

A number of game-changing innovators are operating today, including such household-name enterprises as General Electric,  Nokia, Lego , Apple, Hewlett-Packard, Honeywell, DuPont, and Procter & Gamble.

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Procter & Gamble CEO A.G. Lafley has worked hard to make innovation part of the daily routine and to establish an innovation culture.

Lafley and his team preserved the essential part of P&G’s research and development capability — world-class technologists who are masters of the core technologies critical to the household and personal-care businesses — while also bringing more P&G employees outside R&D into the innovation game.

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The critical factors . .. include keeping a laser-sharp focus on the customer; establishing a disciplined, repeatable, and scalable innovation process; creating organizational and funding mechanisms that support innovation; and demonstrating the kind of leadership necessary for profitable top-line growth as well as cost reduction.

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When I became CEO of Procter & Gamble in 2000, we were introducing new brands and products with a commercial success rate of 15 to 20 percent. In other words, for every six new product introductions, one would return our investment. This had been the prevailing ratio in our industry, consumer packaged goods, for a long time.

Today, about half of our new products succeed. That’s as high as we want the success rate to be. If we try to make it any higher, we’ll be tempted to err on the side of caution, playing it safe by focusing on innovations with little game-changing potential.

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We sold off most of P&G’s food and beverage businesses so we could concentrate on products that were driven by the kinds of innovation we knew best.

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We also focused on creating a practice of open innovation: taking advantage of the skills and interests of people throughout the company and looking for partnerships outside P&G. This was important to us for several reasons.

First, we needed to broaden our capabilities.

Second, building an open innovation culture was critical for realizing the essential growth opportunity presented by emerging markets … the days of achieving automatic growth by entering new markets are essentially over.

A third reason for focusing on open innovation had to do with fostering teams. The idea for a new product may spring from the mind of an individual, but only a collective effort can carry that idea through prototyping and launch.

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“The Consumer Is Boss”

In the early 2000s, our people were not oriented to any common strategic purpose. We had a corporate mission to meaningfully improve the everyday lives of the customers we served. If 15 seconds with a deodorant or two minutes with a disposable diaper have made a small part of your life a little bit better, then we’ve made a difference.

We expanded our mission to include the idea that “the consumer is boss.” In other words, the people who buy and use P&G products are valued not just for their money, but as a rich source of in­formation and direction. If we can develop better ways of learning from them — by listening to them, observing them in their daily lives, and even living with them — then our mission is more likely to succeed.

We began by clearly and precisely defining the target consumer for each brand, and identifying subgroups of consumers for some brands.

We focused on a few big launches and on innovation that was meaningful to consumers, including distinctive packaging, provocative marketing, and delightful in-store experiences. We also took advantage of our global scale and supply chain to reduce complexity and enable a significantly lower cost structure.

We experimented with new ways to build social connections through digital media and other forms of direct interaction. We designed Web sites to reinforce consumer connections, to better understand consumers’ needs, and to experiment with prototypes.

For example, we show people digitally created alternatives in an onscreen vir­tual world. If the consumers we’re talking to have an idea, we can redesign it immediately and ask them, “Do you like that better? How would you use it?” It allows us to iterate very quickly. In effect, we are building a social system with the purchasers (and potential purchasers) of our products, enabling them to codesign and co-engineer our innovations.

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Integrating Innovation

We keep refining our product-launch model — from idea to prototype, to development, to qualification, to commercialization.

Scalability is critical at a company the size of Procter & Gamble. If we can’t scale our processes, they don’t have much value for us. In fact, scalability is often the justification for our existence as a multinational, diversified company.

In fostering this approach and building the social system to support it, the P&G leadership has had to be very disciplined. For instance, we are now set up to see many more new ideas. Last year, the business development group reviewed more than 1,000 external ideas. This year, they’ll see 1,500. We tend to act on about 5 to 7 percent of them.

In the past. Innovation used to travel primarily from developed markets to developing markets. Today, more than 40 percent of our innovation comes from outside the United States.

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The Talent Component

P&G used to recruit for values, brains, accomplishment, and leadership.

We still look for these qualities, but we also look for agility and flexibility. We believe the “soft” skills of emotional intelligence — fundamental social skills such as self-awareness, self-fulfillment, and empathy — are needed to complement the traditional IQ skills.

Curiosity, collaboration, and connectedness are easy to talk about but difficult to develop in practice. We have tried to carefully identify and ease out people who are controlling or insecure, who don’t want to share, open up, or learn — who are not curious. And in the process, we have discovered that most of our people are naturally collaborative.

We give our most promising people time in both functional and line positions, because we think our best leaders are great operating leaders and great innovation leaders. We also move people around geographically. We bring people into our Cincinnati headquarters from around the world, and we make a point of moving our headquarters people to our global businesses. Almost all of us have worked outside our home region. Almost all of us have worked in developing or emerging markets. And almost all of us have worked across the businesses.

We have also recently brought in people from outside to enable and stimulate creative thinking. This was unprecedented for a company that has traditionally hired only entry-level people and promoted from within.

Virtually every leading practitioner of our new design capability came from the outside as a mid-career hire. They arrived from BMW, Nike, and some of the best design shops in the world.

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The result of P&G’s focus on innovation has been reliable, sustainable growth. Since the beginning of the decade, P&G sales have more than doubled, from $39 billion to more than $80 billion; the number of billion-dollar brands, those that generate $1 billion or more in sales each year, has grown from 10 to 24; the number of brands with sales between $500 million and $1 billion has more than quadrupled, from four to 18. 

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Full article:
http://www.strategy-business.com/press/article/08304?pg=all

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If nations were brands, how would they rank ?

October 31, 2008

Excerpted from Brand Channel “Rating Nation Brands: What Really Counts” by Randall Frost, October 6, 2008

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Simon Anholt, a nation branding expert who advises governments on such issues, believes it is unacceptable for governments to spend taxpayers’ and donors’ money on nation branding campaigns if the results can’t be measured, tracked, or made accountable. For that reason, he launched his Nation Brands Index (NBI) in 2005…

The NBI index considers a country’s exports, governance, culture and heritage, people, tourism, and investment and immigration…

According to Anholt, the NBI ranking is not simply a list of the 40 or 50 ‘strongest nation brands’ in the world. Rather, he says, it’s a highly detailed analysis and comparison of 40 or 50 selected countries…

Last August, East West Communications in Washington, D.C., released a competitive ranking of nation brands. Unlike the NBI index, the East West Global Index 200 looks at all 192 UN members, as well as 8 territories, based on how they are perceived in the international media.

According to East West president Thomas Cromwell, the new index tracks 38 major media sources…plus major regional publications that are translated into English and some digitized input from broadcast channels…

Perception Metrics in Ohio conducts the media analyses for East West. According to Brad Snyder of the company,…“What we’re really trying to identify is the brand value by considering the number of mentions, and the tone; we believe both are essential. How much is the country being portrayed positively? And how often is that positive image reinforced? Or is a negative image being presented, and is it hitting home?”…

Both the NBI and East West indexes rank nations by how favourably they are perceived around the world. Because the NBI measures consumer perceptions, however, and East West media perceptions, one would not expect total agreement in the two rankings. But both indexes employ scientifically sound methodologies, so one might anticipate a little more overlap than appears to be the case..

image .

If one considers the top 100 ranked (positively nuanced) countries in the East West index, the ten most frequently media-cited countries are the US, the UK, Australia, France, Japan, Russia, Germany, Italy, Spain and Canada. These countries correspond quite closely to those that have the highest rankings in the NBI index.

One interpretation of this result is that although the media sets the agenda for awareness of countries (what countries people think about), it does not influence what people think of those countries nearly as much…

Professor David Gerstner of Pace University in New York is currently developing yet another nation branding index. Says Gerstner, “Given the increasing importance, attention, and interest in place branding, more nation rankings are likely to appear in the future. The results of these studies are likely to vary. The reason is that, even though they claim to measure the same idea—how attractive or well-regarded a nation is—due to differences in methodologies they are actually measuring different things.”

Edit by SAC

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Full article:
http://www.brandchannel.com/start1.asp?fa_id=443

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