Archive for April 13th, 2009

Uh Oh … Obama’s PAI Drops to +2 … negative by the end of the week ?

April 13, 2009

Sunday’s Rasmussen Report pegged President Obama’s Approval Index (the difference between “top box” Strong Approvers a,d “Bottom box” Strong Disapprovers) at +2 …  the lowest during the Obama presidency — down from +30 just after the inauguration.

Obama’s Total Approval (Strong Approvers plus Somewhat Approvers) has been relatively stable at 55% … down from about 65% right after the inauguration.  (Note: Total Approval is what most news organizations report)

Obama’s Strong Approval has fallen from about 45% to 34% … while his Strong Disapproval has increased from 15% to 32% … netting out at the current PAI of +2

Possible explanations for the declining PAI:

(1) liberals disappointment with the pace of he Iraq withdrawal and the intensification of Afghanistan

(2) moderates concerns that Obama does not intend to “move to the middle”

(3) Catholics’ “wake up call” regarding abortion rights — fueled in part by the Notre Dame controversy

(4) broadscale concern regarding the current spending spree and concentrated concern re: cap & trade in coal mining states 

(5) mixed reviews re: the European trip — with liberals coining it a “refreshing reset” and conservatives tagging it a “mea culpa tour” 

(6) the declaration — during the Easter week run-up — that the U.S. is not a Christian nation.

Ken’s Take: this Wednesday’s Taxpayer Tea Parties — hyped by conservative media and totally ignored by liberal media — will cause a visible stir … and Obama’s PAI will go negative at the end of the week.

image 
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/obama_approval_index_history

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Everyone Should Pay Income Taxes

April 13, 2009

Ken’s Take:

(1) I was all over this issue last fall in the election run-up.  My beef isn’t with tax rates per se — I think they’re pretty reasonable.  But, I hate seeing my tax dollars wasted on wacky programs and government inefficiency, and I think that everybody has to have some skin in the gain.  Having half of all voters pay zero income taxes (or less) may be politically advantageous in the short-run, but it’s economically fatal in the long-run …

(2) Question: Does the half of the population that doesn’t pay income taxes have a right to be outraged with the way tax dollars are spent ?  Perhaps they should at least show some courtesy to taxpayers —  by sitting down and shutting up …

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Excerpted from WSJ, “Everyone Should Pay Income Taxes”, Fleischer, April 12, 2009

A very small number of taxpayers — the 10% of the country that makes  — pay 72.4% of the nation’s income taxes. They’re the tip of the triangle that’s supporting virtually everyone and everything. Their burden keeps getting heavier.

As a result of the 2001 tax cuts . . . the share of taxes paid by the top 10% — those making more than $92,400 a year —  increased to 72.8% in 2005 from 67.8% in 2001.

Contrary to the myth that Mr. Bush cut taxes only for the wealthy, the 2001 tax cut reduced taxes for every income-tax payer in the country. He reduced the bottom tax rate to 10% from 15% and increased the refundable child tax credit to $1,000 from $500 per child,. In so doing, millions of lower income taxpayers were removed from the tax rolls, shifting the remaining burden to those at the top.

Mr. Obama is adding to this trend with his “Make Work Pay” tax cut that means almost 50% of the country will no longer pay any income taxes, up from a little over 40% today.

Today, Mr. Obama and many congressional Democrats want the “wealthy” to pay even more so there is more money for them to redistribute. The president says he wants the wealthy to pay their “fair share.” Who can argue with that? But he never defines what that means. Is it fair for 10% to pay 70% of the income tax? Does he believe they should pay 75%, or 95%, or does fairness mean they should pay it all?

In addition to exempting almost 50% of the country from income taxes, today nearly every other social cause is given a loophole — or a preference — in the tax code. Want to buy a hybrid vehicle? You get a tax break. Do you own a solar water heater? You get a credit. Want to give to charity? You get a deduction. Own a house? There’s another tax deduction for you. How about college savings, certain medical costs, and retirement savings? Yes, yes, and of course yes. Did you move, pay alimony, or “provide housing to a Midwestern displaced individual”? More deductions, credits and exemptions there too, if you qualify.

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It’s time to create an Economic Growth Code whose purpose is to fix and grow the economy, not redistribute massive amounts of wealth. A new tax code that creates growth and reforms our entitlement system is the only way to dig our way out of the hole we’re in.

Everyone in American would pay income taxes — everyone. Such a system would be designed to foster broad-based growth for all, in contrast to the loophole-ridden system we have today. Not only is the current code flawed from top to bottom, it is used by politicians to divide the public along class lines and fails to promote prosperity.

Congress should start by refusing to go along with Mr. Obama’s promise to cut taxes for 95% of the country. With the government running an almost $2 trillion deficit, no one should have their taxes cut — no one. Given the size of the deficit, fiscal responsibility demands nothing less.

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I favor the abolition of all Social Security, Medicare, ending the myth that these programs are supported through government trust funds and payroll taxes.

In their place, we should create a simple income tax system that has no deductions or credits at all. The result would be a progressive, multitiered income tax in which everyone pays.

I’d also create a mechanism so tax rates go up or down for everyone — no more dividing the country by lowering taxes for some or raising them only for others. A revenue system whose purpose is to pay the government’s bills should apply fairly to one and all. If Congress wants to raise or cut taxes, it should do so for everyone.

It’s funny what happens when everyone pays the bills; Americans may want less spending so they can pay fewer bills.

Full article:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123958260423012269.html

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A small victory for opponents of the death tax …

April 13, 2009

Excerpted from WSJ, “Death Blow”, April 9, 2009

The Bush tax plan intended to eliminate the death tax in 2010.  President Obama wants to reinstate 45% rate with a $3.5 million per person exemption.

Barely noticed, last week the U.S. Senate voted 51-48 to cut permanently the death tax rate to 35% and exempt all estates of less than $10 million per couple ($5 million for a single taxpayer) from any tax

Every Republican voted for the lower rate, and so did 10 Democrats. This is the closest thing to bipartisanship we’ve seen so far this year on Capitol Hill, but naturally the White House and most of the media are appalled. Their idea of bipartisanship is when three Republicans cross party lines to pass $780 billion in “stimulus” spending.

Full article:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123923589432903367.html#printMode

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What Brand Would Your Recommend? Apple Tops the List (well, almost)

April 13, 2009

Excerpted from Brandweek, “Apple Has Highest Net Promoter Score” By Todd Wasserman, March 30, 2009

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Apple is not only the brand that marketers love the best, but it’s the one that consumers recommend the most, according to new research from Satmetrix, originator of the Net Promoter score.

Apple posted a NetPromoter score of 77%, which means that 83% of respondents would recommend the brand to a friend versus 6% who would not. (The score is calculated by subtracting the latter from the former and is based on a scale of one to 10.) The only “brand” to beat Apple was the USAA, a financial services firm for members of the military.

Satmetrix’s report … narrowed its focus on a few categories, including telecom, financial services and online. Categories like consumer packaged goods were not tested, though … company is considering looking at other such segments in the future.

The overall winners:

1. USAA
2. Apple
3. Amazon.com
4. Costco.com
5. Google
6. Facebook
7. Wikipedia
8. eBay
9.  Craigslist
10. Barnes & Noble (bn.com)

Satmetrix stressed that Costco and Barnes & Noble’s sites were judged separately from their retail operations …

Satmetrix introduced Net Promoter in 2006 after Bain fellow Fred Reichheld developed the metric with the company.  The company and Reichheld believe the score has the highest correlation to buying behavior.

Edit by SAC

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Full Article:
http://www.brandweek.com/bw/content_display/news-and-features/direct/e3i1a3d96e3863d2d6cdff085d95d2c1c61?imw=Y

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