Archive for September 28th, 2009

Transferring wealth from you to me … I kinda like that idea.

September 28, 2009

Ken’s Take: By the law of averages, most HomaFiles readers are younger than Homa.  So, if these guys are right, maybe the proposed health care “reforms” make sense.

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Excerpted from WSJ: ‘Reform’ Is Income Redistribution, Sept.  27, 2009

Congress is contemplating changes … that would create a massively unfair form of income redistribution and create incentives for many not to buy health insurance at all.

Let’s start with basics: Insurance protects against the risk of something bad happening.

When your house is on fire you no longer need protection against risk. You need a fireman and cash to rebuild your home. But suppose the government requires insurers to sell you fire “insurance” while your house is on fire and says you can pay the same premium as people whose houses are not on fire. The result would be that few homeowners would buy insurance until their houses were on fire.

The same could happen under health insurance reform.

Here’s how: President Obama proposes to require insurers to sell policies to everyone no matter what their health status. By itself this requirement, called “guaranteed issue,” would just mean that insurers would charge predictably sick people the extremely high insurance premiums that reflect their future expected costs. But if Congress adds another requirement, called “community rating,” insurers’ ability to charge higher premiums for higher risks will be sharply limited.

Thus a healthy 25-year-old and a 55-year-old with cancer would pay nearly the same premium for a health policy.  But the 25-year-old … would pay significantly more than needed to cover his expected costs.

Like the homeowner who waits until his house is on fire to buy insurance, younger, poorer, healthier workers will rationally choose to avoid paying high premiums now to subsidize insurance for someone else. After all, they can always get a policy if they get sick.

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To avoid this outcome, most congressional Democrats and some Republicans would combine guaranteed issue and community rating with the requirement that all workers buy health insurance—that is, an “individual mandate.”

But the combination of a guaranteed issue, community rating and an individual mandate means that younger, healthier, lower-income earners would be forced to subsidize older, sicker, higher-income earners.

And because these subsidies are buried within health-insurance premiums, the massive income redistribution is hidden from public view and not debated.

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There are wiser and more equitable ways to ensure that every American has access to affordable health insurance, including high risk pools and taxpayer-funded vouchers subsidized for those who are both poor and sick.

Medicaid, charity care, and uncompensated care provided by hospitals cover some of these costs today. These solutions are imperfect, but so are the reforms being proposed in Congress.

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Full article:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204488304574434933462691154.html

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A123’s Systems’ IPO is a big deal … here’s why.

September 28, 2009

Ken’s Take: A123’s Systems’ IPO is a big deal for 2 reasons:

(1) A successful IPO has to be a good sign for the market

(2) Virtually all batteries for hybrid and electric cars are made outside the U.S. — mostly in Japan and Korea.  So, a shift to hybrids would still make the U.S. dependent on foreign sources for the cars’ power supply.  Domestic sources of batteries is critical for energy independence.

But note: lithium — the primary component of most rechargeable batteries — is almost entirely mined outside the U.S.   For more details, see the February 26, 2009 HomaFiles post “Batteries are the key weapon in the battle for energy independence … too bad we’re losing the weapons race.” 
https://kenhoma.wordpress.com/2009/02/26/batteries-are-the-key-weapon-in-the-battle-for-energy-independence-too-bad-were-losing-the-weapons-race/

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MarketWatch, A123 Systems jolts IPO market,  Sept. 24, 2009

Lithium ion battery maker draws strong interest

A123 Systems’ newly minted shares jumped 50% in their stock market debut as Wall Street placed its bets behind the government-subsidized maker of lithium-ion batteries for the growing electric car market. On Aug. 6, A123 won $249 million in federal stimulus funds, which the company plans to use to build factories for making batteries.

A123 drew interest from IPO investors as a way to tap into new technology. The company raised $378 million in its debut on the Nasdaq.

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A123 Systems, an eight-year-old battery builder launched by engineers from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, has yet to turn a profit. The company reported a loss of $40.7 million on revenue of $42.9 million in the six months ended June 30.

The company carries marquee investors in its list of principal shareholders, including General Electric , Qualcomm Inc. , Motorola Inc. and North Bridge Venture Partners.

Not only a provider for electric cars, A123 Systems develops and manufactures advanced lithium-ion batteries and battery systems for the electric grid services and consumer markets as well.

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A123 said in its IPO filing that the number of hybrid electric, plug-in hybrid and electric cars is expected to grow from 19 models in 2009 at an annual production rate of at least 20,000 vehicles to more than 150 models in 2014 and more than 200 models in 2019.

A.T. Kearney projects the market will grow to about $21.8 billion by 2015 and $74.1 billion by 2020, stoked by governmental regulation, emerging powertrain technology and rising consumer demand.

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Full article:
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/story/print?guid=FEC91852-2BEC-4821-A6C2-F3BD67C61B7A

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The world is filling fast with "Fameballs"? … Wanna be one?

September 28, 2009

Ken’s Take: The use of minor or would-be celebs is a growing trend in advertising. Aspiring “fameballs” — well-known, if at all, simply for wanting to be famous — are generally poised, presentable, and vaguely familiar … and they’re cheap, as endorsers go.  And, the ‘role modeling’ seems to be pentrating pop culture.  Uh-oh.
http://www.brandchannel.com/home/post/2009/09/23/Minor-Celeb-Endorsements-Trip-Up-Sony-BMW.aspx

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Fameball:  Minor-celebrities whose fame snowballs because journalists cover what they think other people want them to cover. In “real life”, people who crave attention and and try to create buzz about themselves.

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From gawker.com : So You Want to Be a Fameball?, Apr 9 2009

Fameballdom is an organic process. This guide will help your effort to become ubiquitous and despicable:

Here’s what you DO need to be a fameball:

An unquenchable desire for fame: Obviously. It is what drives all fameballs.

Shamelessness: Your desire for fame must be greater than that voice in your head screaming, “Stop; you look like an idiot.”

A lack of redeeming talents: This isn’t the Nobel Prize, okay? If you’re a shameless fame whore but you also, say, cured cancer, one could argue that your talent is being properly appreciated. This will not do.

An abundance of non-redeeming talents: These may include, but are not limited to: oversharing, self-regard, delusions of grandeur, superficial physical attractiveness, a ridiculous distinctive personal fashion trademark, the ability to talk about oneself without end, conspicuously false modesty, and sluttiness and/or man-whorishness.

Sounds easy, right? Wrong!

Any of the following things can kill a fameball trajectory fast.

Growing a conscience: It can happen to the worst of them. Instant death.

A desire for meta-fameballdom rather than actual fameballdom: This is the key mistake that people make when they beg for adoration and coverage. We’re talking to you, lady (or gent) who keeps posting pictures of yourself as the life of the hot party.

You see, while we do grow and cultivate fameballs, it’s absolutely essential that those fameballs are not seeking our approval; they must dream of stardom (even micro-stardom) in the outside world, not simply with a knowing wink from gawkers. A fameball’s famelust must be their undoing, not their doing. If you’re deserving, the world will find you

Being a one-trick pony: Lots of people do embarrassing fameball-like things from time to time. But do they have the staying power to keep plumbing ever-greater depths of self-abasement? Only the greatest do.

Full article:
http://gawker.com/5205794/so-you-want-to-be-a-fameball

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