Archive for November 6th, 2014

Tuesday: A bad night for pollsters … and some other folks.

November 6, 2014

The election results looked a lot different than the pollsters predicted.

Pat Roberts was supposed to lose … he won by a comfortable margin.

Joni Ernst “might” eek out win … she romped.

Mark Warner was supposed to be popping champagne corks by 8 o’clock … he got less than 50% and the VA race hasn’t been officially called yet.

What happened?

Nate Silver’s 535 has nailed the symptoms … but not the cause.

 

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Bottom line: Silver’s crew observes that there was an average 4-point polling bias in favor of the Dems ….

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