Archive for October 23rd, 2016

What’s Nate Silver saying about the election?

October 23, 2016

Answer: Not looking good for the Trumpster.

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Nate Silver is the left-leaning pollster who made his mark being early, often and loud predicting Obama’s 2008 victory.

These days, he’s saying that Hillary has an 87% of winning the election … based on an average of polls tracked and massaged by his FiveThirtyEight group.

 

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More specifically, Silver says that there’s a:

  • 2 in 3 chance that Clinton wins by the same margin as Obama did … or better
  • 1 in 3 chance that Clinton wins in a blow-out

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Looks pretty bleak for The Donald based on Silvers recap.

But …  tomorrow, we’ll use some of Silver’s own numbers to paint a different picture of the race.

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Posted in 2016 Presidential Election, Polls & Surveys | 1 Comment »