Sunday polls: Pick your favorite …

There’s a poll for everybody today … pick one that confirms your biases.


WaPo: Clinton +4 

Turnout: Dems +7 (Dems 37%, GOP 30%, Independents 29%)



IBD: Trump +1 

Most accurate in 2012

Turnout: +3 (Dems 37%, GOP 34%, Independents 29%)

Turnout assumption differences fully account for differences in IBD and WaPo



LA Times: Trump +6

Statistically significant: outside the margin of error

4th most accurate in 2012

No turnout assumptions reported



Nate Silver: Clinton +3

Clinton 2 to 1 favorite to win.





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