The Homa Files

Cumulative U.S. Deaths 
9,620  Worldometer
9,648   JHU

IHME Model Cumulative US Death Projection:
93,531 by August 4   

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1,166 Daily New Deaths   Worldometer
See technical note below chart

IHME Model  Peak DND Projection:
2,644 on April 16 

Dotted red line is 3-day moving average

Technical note: Worldometer’s calculation of DNDs sometimes falls out of sync with their reporting of Total Deaths. Probably due to reporting issues on granular state data. We are validity check the Worldometer Total Deaths against the JHU reporting … and do our own calculation of DNDs by comparing day-to-day Total Death numbers.

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State-by-State Data

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State Deaths to Date Worldometer

• NY+NJ+CT = 5,265  55% of US Total
     NY+NJ+CT = 10% U.S. Population
• Top 11 Average = 56 Deaths per Million
• CA, FL and bottom 40 states are all
  10 or fewer Deaths per Million

State                    Deaths     % US      Population   Deaths / MM

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This entry was posted on April 6, 2020 at 5:30 am and is filed under COVID-19 Tracking. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.