Archive for the ‘COVID-19 Tracking’ Category

Sept. 18: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 18, 2020

202,130 Deaths-to-Date

896 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 848     (peak 2.229 April 23)

41,476  New Cases
> 7-day average  38,376

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Sept. 17: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 17, 2020

201,266 Deaths-to-Date

1,069 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 869       (peak 2.229 April 23)

37,609  New Cases
> 7-day average  37,814

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Sept. 16: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 16, 2020

200,171 Deaths-to-Date

1,171 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 884       (peak 2.229 April 23)

35,925  New Cases
> 7-day average  36,058

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Sept. 15: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 15, 2020

199,000 Deaths-to-Date

480 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 781    (peak 2.229 April 23)

38,072  New Cases
> 7-day average  36,058

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Sept. 14: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 14, 2020

198,520 Deaths-to-Date

392 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 759    (peak 2.229 April 23)

31,857  New Cases
> 7-day average  34,247

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Sept. 13: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 13, 2020

198,118 Deaths-to-Date

698 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 757    (peak 2.229 April 23)

37,420  New Cases
> 7-day average  33,759

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Sept. 12: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 12, 2020

197,395 Deaths-to-Date

1,068 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 766    (peak 2.229 April 23)

46,270  New Cases
> 7-day average  34,162

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Sept. 11: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 11, 2020

196,193 Deaths-to-Date

945 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 738    (peak 2.229 April 23)

37,544  New Cases
> 7-day average  34,867

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Sept. 10: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 10, 2020

195,184 Deaths-to-Date

1,154 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 750       (peak 2.229 April 23)

34,234  New Cases
> 7-day average  35,972

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Sept. 9: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 9, 2020

193,983 Deaths-to-Date

449 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 726    (peak 2.229 April 23)

27,077  New Cases
> 7-day average  36,704

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Sept. 8: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 8, 2020

193,534 Deaths-to-Date

586 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 836    (peak 2.229 April 23)

25,325  New Cases
> 7-day average  38,874

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Sept. 7: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 7, 2020

193,206  Deaths-to-Date

389 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 856    (peak 2.229 April 23)

28306  New Cases
> 7-day average  39,379

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Sept. 6: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 6, 2020

192,817  Deaths-to-Date

706 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 861    (peak 2.229 April 23)

40,379  New Cases
> 7-day average  40,008

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Sept. 5: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 5, 2020

192,032  Deaths-to-Date

974 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 881    (peak 2.229 April 23)

51,204  New Cases
> 7-day average  39,905

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Sept. 4: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 4, 2020

191,027  Deaths-to-Date

1,063 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 942    (peak 2.229 April 23)

43,877  New Cases
> 7-day average  39,384

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Details: What did Trump know, when did he know it?

September 3, 2020

More important: What was he advised to do?
=============

In a prior post, we channeled an op-ed authored by members of a team that wrote a September 2019 White House report

image

Based on the report and its follow-up, the authors assert:

“The administration was well aware of the threat of a pandemic before the novel coronavirus emerged … and there was “immediate presidential action” to implement the reports recommendations.

Said differently:

The White House Was Prepared for a Pandemic: The September 2019 report laid the groundwork for Operation Warp Speed

Today, let’s drill down on the September 2019 White House report…

(more…)

Sept. 3: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 3, 2020

189,935  Deaths-to-Date

1,061 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 915    (peak 2.229 April 23)

40,763  New Cases
> 7-day average  38,361

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Sept. 2: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 2, 2020

188,900  Deaths-to-Date

1,164 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 935    (peak 2.229 April 23)

41,979  New Cases
> 7-day average  39,319

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Sept. 1: C-19 Data Dashboard

September 1, 2020

187,215  Deaths-to-Date

455 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 938    (peak 2.229 April 23)

35,860  New Cases
> 7-day average  38,891

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 31: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 31, 2020

187,215  Deaths-to-Date

362 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 944    (peak 2.229 April 23)

32,709  New Cases
> 7-day average  39,689

 image_thumb2

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 30: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 30, 2020

186,789  Deaths-to-Date

888 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 945    (peak 2.229 April 23)

39,656  New Cases
> 7-day average  39,671

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 29: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 29, 2020

185,865  Deaths-to-Date

1,069 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 952    (peak 2.229 April 23)

47,560  New Cases
> 7-day average  40,287

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 28: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 28, 2020

184,433  Deaths-to-Date

780 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,001    (peak 2.229 April 23)

36,713  New Cases
> 7-day average  40,700

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 27: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 27, 2020

183,533  Deaths-to-Date

1169 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,028    (peak 2.229 April 23)

40718  New Cases
> 7-day average  41933

 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 26: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 26, 2020

182,348  Deaths-to-Date

1,235 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,040    (peak 2.229 April 23)

39,021  New Cases
> 7-day average  42,538


 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 25: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 25, 2020

181,113  Deaths-to-Date

509 Daily New Deaths     (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,057    (peak 2.229 April 23)

41,448  New Cases
> 7-day average  43,236


 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 24: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 24, 2020

180,604  Deaths-to-Date

430 Daily New Deaths     (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,068    (peak 2.229 April 23)

32,718  New Cases
> 7-day average  43,117


 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 23: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 23, 2020

180,174  Deaths-to-Date

974 Daily New Deaths     (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,081    (peak 2.229 April 23)

43,829  New Cases
> 7-day average  43,706


 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 22: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 22, 2020

179,200  Deaths-to-Date

1,170 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,101    (peak 2.229 April 23)

50,455  New Cases
> 7-day average  45091
(below 14-day average since July 26)
> 14-day average    50,810


 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Let’s end the week on a high note…

August 21, 2020

B of A says “the Coronavirus is rolling over”.
============

If you’ve been following our Daily C-19 Data Dashboard, you’ve undoubtedly noticed that the 7-day moving average of confirmed cases has fallen by over 30% since its peak on July 23.

image

That’s good news but the case counts– as we oft repeat —  are a very fuzzy-math number since they are impacted by the number and mix of people being tested.

=============

Positivity Rate

Dr. Birx says to watch the percentage of people testing positive — the so-called “positivity rate”.

It’s currently at 6.5% — about 1/3 of the rate during the NY-area outbreak.

image

That’s also good news but, again, “positivity” is an equivocal metric since it’s impacted by the mix of people being tested.

===============

So, the B of A analysts say to focus on hospitalization rates.

(more…)

Aug. 21: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 21, 2020

177,424  Deaths-to-Date

1,090 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,009    (peak 2.229 April 23)

45,341  New Cases
> 7-day average  46,442
(below 14-day average since July 26)
> 14-day average    50,810


 image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 20: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 20, 2020

176,337  Deaths-to-Date

1,283 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,031    (peak 2.229 April 23)

44,957  New Cases
>  7-day average     47,701  (below 14-day average since July 26)
> 14-day average    50,810


image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

About Cuomo’s “beautiful” response to the coronavirus…

August 19, 2020

Hardly a model of “flattening the curve”
==============

Talk about Chutzpah…

NY has amassed over 30,000 covid-related deaths (about 20% of the US total) … and, almost 1,700 deaths per million residents (2nd only to NJ’s 1,800; almost quadruple Florida’s 455).

image

Cuomo was bold enough to commemorate New York’s death toll (chart above) on an anatomically accurate “Victory Poster” (image below). Note the shape of the deaths’ curve.

Today, I want to make a very simple (and irrefutable point)….

(more…)

Aug. 19: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 19, 2020

175,065  Deaths-to-Date

1,349 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,072    (peak 2.229 April 23)

43,906  New Cases
> 7-day average    48,988

image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 18: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 18, 2020

173,716  Deaths-to-Date

589 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,079    (peak 2.229 April 23)

40,612  New Cases
> 7-day average    50,222

image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 17: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 17, 2020

173,128  Deaths-to-Date

522 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,073    (peak 2.229 April 23)

36,843  New Cases
> 7-day average    51,410

image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 16: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 16, 2020

172,606  Deaths-to-Date

1,071 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,077    (peak 2.229 April 23)

53,523  New Cases
> 7-day average    52,983

image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 15: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 15, 2020

171,496  Deaths-to-Date

1,081 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,060    (peak 2.229 April 23)

59,915  New Cases
> 7-day average    53,079

image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 14: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 14, 2020

170,360  Deaths-to-Date

1,229 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,079    (peak 2.229 April 23)

54,148  New Cases
> 7-day average    53,454

image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 13: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 13, 2020

169,121  Deaths-to-Date

1,376 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,074    (peak 2.229 April 23)

53,972  New Cases
> 7-day average    54,092

image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 12: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 12, 2020

167,562  Deaths-to-Date

1,370 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,050    (peak 2.229 April 23)

52,539  New Cases
> 7-day average    54,403

image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 11: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 11, 2020

166,161  Deaths-to-Date

538 Daily New Deaths     (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,025    (peak 2.229 April 23)

48,932  New Cases
> 7-day average    54,344

image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

The good C-19 news that the MSM will likely ignore…

August 10, 2020

Data indicates that the worst may be behind us … at least for now.
=============

The 7-day average for new cases has been trending down for more than two weeks, from more than 67,000 on July 22 to 47,849 on Sunday.

image

=============

There are 49,039 Covid-related patients currently hospitalized.  Hospitalizations are trending down and are below the 60,000 peaks reached on April 21 and July 27.

image

=============

The 7-day average for new reported deaths has also apparently peaked., trending from 1,246 on July 31 to the current 1,036, which is less than half of the peak reached on April 23 (2,229).

image

==============

The arrows are pointing in the right direction!

Aug. 10: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 10, 2020

165,617  Deaths-to-Date

535 Daily New Deaths     (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,036    (peak 2.229 April 23)

47,849  New Cases
> 7-day average    54,289

image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 9: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 9, 2020

165,070  Deaths-to-Date

980 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,025    (peak 2.229 April 23)

54.199  New Cases
> 7-day average    54,459

image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

Aug. 8: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 8, 2020

164,076  Deaths-to-Date

1,272 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,047    (peak 2.229 April 23)

62,541  New Cases
> 7-day average    55,063

image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

How many people are walking around infected with Covid-19?

August 7, 2020

Finally, some C-19 “prevalence” estimates…
=============

Loyal readers know that I’ve been frustrated by the lack of practical, personally-relevant data that the public health “experts” have been gathering, analyzing and disseminating.

For example, I’d like to know how likely I am to bump into a person who is infected with C-19 if I leave my house.

Reasonable question, right?

In infectious disease speak, that number is called the “prevalence rate” … the percentage of people in an area who are infectious-likely at a specific point in time.

Current testing procedures don’t answer the question (see: Why is COVID testing still so haphazard?) … so, the “experts” fixate on metrics that are muddled and potentially misleading (see: Birx: “Key metric that I watch is the positivity rate”).

Finally, I’ve stumbled on some “machine learning” analyses that take a stab at answering my question: What’s the Covid prevalence rate?

image

OK, let’s get to work…

(more…)

Aug. 7: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 7, 2020

162,804  Deaths-to-Date

1,203 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,074    (peak 2.229 April 23)

58,611  New Cases
> 7-day average    56,258

image

=============
Details below…

(more…)

C-19: State-level Cases, Deaths, Rates

August 6, 2020

Today, let’s drill down for some perspective…
=============

First, as oft-reported, NY & NJ lead the list for total deaths … the 2 states represent about 30% of the US total.

The Top 10 states account for 2/3’s of the US total.

image

Let’s dig deeper…

(more…)

Aug. 6: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 6, 2020

161,601  Deaths-to-Date

1,319 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,109    (peak 2.229 April 23)

56,148  New Cases
> 7-day average    57,681

image

=============
Details below…

(more…)