202,130 Deaths-to-Date
896 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 848 (peak 2.229 April 23)
41,476 New Cases
> 7-day average 38,376
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Details below…
Archive for the ‘COVID-19 Tracking’ Category
Sept. 18: C-19 Data Dashboard
September 18, 2020Sept. 17: C-19 Data Dashboard
September 17, 2020201,266 Deaths-to-Date
1,069 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 869 (peak 2.229 April 23)
37,609 New Cases
> 7-day average 37,814
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Details below…
Sept. 16: C-19 Data Dashboard
September 16, 2020200,171 Deaths-to-Date
1,171 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 884 (peak 2.229 April 23)
35,925 New Cases
> 7-day average 36,058
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Details below…
Sept. 15: C-19 Data Dashboard
September 15, 2020199,000 Deaths-to-Date
480 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 781 (peak 2.229 April 23)
38,072 New Cases
> 7-day average 36,058
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Details below…
Sept. 14: C-19 Data Dashboard
September 14, 2020198,520 Deaths-to-Date
392 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 759 (peak 2.229 April 23)
31,857 New Cases
> 7-day average 34,247
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Details below…
Sept. 13: C-19 Data Dashboard
September 13, 2020198,118 Deaths-to-Date
698 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 757 (peak 2.229 April 23)
37,420 New Cases
> 7-day average 33,759
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Details below…
Sept. 12: C-19 Data Dashboard
September 12, 2020197,395 Deaths-to-Date
1,068 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 766 (peak 2.229 April 23)
46,270 New Cases
> 7-day average 34,162
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Details below…
Sept. 11: C-19 Data Dashboard
September 11, 2020196,193 Deaths-to-Date
945 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 738 (peak 2.229 April 23)
37,544 New Cases
> 7-day average 34,867
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Details below…
Sept. 10: C-19 Data Dashboard
September 10, 2020195,184 Deaths-to-Date
1,154 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 750 (peak 2.229 April 23)
34,234 New Cases
> 7-day average 35,972
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Details below…
Sept. 9: C-19 Data Dashboard
September 9, 2020193,983 Deaths-to-Date
449 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 726 (peak 2.229 April 23)
27,077 New Cases
> 7-day average 36,704
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Details below…
Sept. 8: C-19 Data Dashboard
September 8, 2020193,534 Deaths-to-Date
586 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 836 (peak 2.229 April 23)
25,325 New Cases
> 7-day average 38,874
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Details below…
Sept. 7: C-19 Data Dashboard
September 7, 2020193,206 Deaths-to-Date
389 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 856 (peak 2.229 April 23)
28306 New Cases
> 7-day average 39,379
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Details below…
Sept. 6: C-19 Data Dashboard
September 6, 2020192,817 Deaths-to-Date
706 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 861 (peak 2.229 April 23)
40,379 New Cases
> 7-day average 40,008
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Details below…
Sept. 5: C-19 Data Dashboard
September 5, 2020192,032 Deaths-to-Date
974 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 881 (peak 2.229 April 23)
51,204 New Cases
> 7-day average 39,905
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Details below…
Sept. 4: C-19 Data Dashboard
September 4, 2020191,027 Deaths-to-Date
1,063 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 942 (peak 2.229 April 23)
43,877 New Cases
> 7-day average 39,384
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Details below…
Details: What did Trump know, when did he know it?
September 3, 2020More important: What was he advised to do?
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In a prior post, we channeled an op-ed authored by members of a team that wrote a September 2019 White House report
Based on the report and its follow-up, the authors assert:
“The administration was well aware of the threat of a pandemic before the novel coronavirus emerged … and there was “immediate presidential action” to implement the reports recommendations.
Said differently:
The White House Was Prepared for a Pandemic: The September 2019 report laid the groundwork for Operation Warp Speed
Today, let’s drill down on the September 2019 White House report…
Sept. 3: C-19 Data Dashboard
September 3, 2020189,935 Deaths-to-Date
1,061 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 915 (peak 2.229 April 23)
40,763 New Cases
> 7-day average 38,361
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Details below…
Sept. 2: C-19 Data Dashboard
September 2, 2020188,900 Deaths-to-Date
1,164 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 935 (peak 2.229 April 23)
41,979 New Cases
> 7-day average 39,319
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Details below…
Sept. 1: C-19 Data Dashboard
September 1, 2020187,215 Deaths-to-Date
455 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 938 (peak 2.229 April 23)
35,860 New Cases
> 7-day average 38,891
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Details below…
Aug. 31: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 31, 2020187,215 Deaths-to-Date
362 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 944 (peak 2.229 April 23)
32,709 New Cases
> 7-day average 39,689
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Details below…
Aug. 30: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 30, 2020186,789 Deaths-to-Date
888 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 945 (peak 2.229 April 23)
39,656 New Cases
> 7-day average 39,671
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Details below…
Aug. 29: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 29, 2020185,865 Deaths-to-Date
1,069 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 952 (peak 2.229 April 23)
47,560 New Cases
> 7-day average 40,287
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Details below…
Aug. 28: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 28, 2020184,433 Deaths-to-Date
780 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,001 (peak 2.229 April 23)
36,713 New Cases
> 7-day average 40,700
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Details below…
Aug. 27: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 27, 2020183,533 Deaths-to-Date
1169 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,028 (peak 2.229 April 23)
40718 New Cases
> 7-day average 41933
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Details below…
Aug. 26: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 26, 2020182,348 Deaths-to-Date
1,235 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,040 (peak 2.229 April 23)
39,021 New Cases
> 7-day average 42,538
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Details below…
Aug. 25: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 25, 2020181,113 Deaths-to-Date
509 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,057 (peak 2.229 April 23)
41,448 New Cases
> 7-day average 43,236
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Details below…
Aug. 24: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 24, 2020180,604 Deaths-to-Date
430 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,068 (peak 2.229 April 23)
32,718 New Cases
> 7-day average 43,117
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Details below…
Aug. 23: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 23, 2020180,174 Deaths-to-Date
974 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,081 (peak 2.229 April 23)
43,829 New Cases
> 7-day average 43,706
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Details below…
Aug. 22: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 22, 2020179,200 Deaths-to-Date
1,170 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,101 (peak 2.229 April 23)
50,455 New Cases
> 7-day average 45091
(below 14-day average since July 26)
> 14-day average 50,810
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Details below…
Let’s end the week on a high note…
August 21, 2020B of A says “the Coronavirus is rolling over”.
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If you’ve been following our Daily C-19 Data Dashboard, you’ve undoubtedly noticed that the 7-day moving average of confirmed cases has fallen by over 30% since its peak on July 23.
That’s good news but the case counts– as we oft repeat — are a very fuzzy-math number since they are impacted by the number and mix of people being tested.
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Positivity Rate
Dr. Birx says to watch the percentage of people testing positive — the so-called “positivity rate”.
It’s currently at 6.5% — about 1/3 of the rate during the NY-area outbreak.
That’s also good news but, again, “positivity” is an equivocal metric since it’s impacted by the mix of people being tested.
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So, the B of A analysts say to focus on hospitalization rates.
Aug. 21: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 21, 2020177,424 Deaths-to-Date
1,090 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,009 (peak 2.229 April 23)
45,341 New Cases
> 7-day average 46,442
(below 14-day average since July 26)
> 14-day average 50,810
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Details below…
Aug. 20: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 20, 2020176,337 Deaths-to-Date
1,283 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,031 (peak 2.229 April 23)
44,957 New Cases
> 7-day average 47,701 (below 14-day average since July 26)
> 14-day average 50,810
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Details below…
About Cuomo’s “beautiful” response to the coronavirus…
August 19, 2020Hardly a model of “flattening the curve”
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Talk about Chutzpah…
NY has amassed over 30,000 covid-related deaths (about 20% of the US total) … and, almost 1,700 deaths per million residents (2nd only to NJ’s 1,800; almost quadruple Florida’s 455).
Cuomo was bold enough to commemorate New York’s death toll (chart above) on an anatomically accurate “Victory Poster” (image below). Note the shape of the deaths’ curve.
Today, I want to make a very simple (and irrefutable point)….
Aug. 19: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 19, 2020175,065 Deaths-to-Date
1,349 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,072 (peak 2.229 April 23)
43,906 New Cases
> 7-day average 48,988
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Details below…
Aug. 18: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 18, 2020173,716 Deaths-to-Date
589 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,079 (peak 2.229 April 23)
40,612 New Cases
> 7-day average 50,222
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Details below…
Aug. 17: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 17, 2020173,128 Deaths-to-Date
522 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,073 (peak 2.229 April 23)
36,843 New Cases
> 7-day average 51,410
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Details below…
Aug. 16: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 16, 2020172,606 Deaths-to-Date
1,071 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,077 (peak 2.229 April 23)
53,523 New Cases
> 7-day average 52,983
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Details below…
Aug. 15: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 15, 2020171,496 Deaths-to-Date
1,081 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,060 (peak 2.229 April 23)
59,915 New Cases
> 7-day average 53,079
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Details below…
Aug. 14: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 14, 2020170,360 Deaths-to-Date
1,229 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,079 (peak 2.229 April 23)
54,148 New Cases
> 7-day average 53,454
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Details below…
Aug. 13: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 13, 2020169,121 Deaths-to-Date
1,376 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,074 (peak 2.229 April 23)
53,972 New Cases
> 7-day average 54,092
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Details below…
Aug. 12: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 12, 2020167,562 Deaths-to-Date
1,370 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,050 (peak 2.229 April 23)
52,539 New Cases
> 7-day average 54,403
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Details below…
Aug. 11: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 11, 2020166,161 Deaths-to-Date
538 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,025 (peak 2.229 April 23)
48,932 New Cases
> 7-day average 54,344
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Details below…
The good C-19 news that the MSM will likely ignore…
August 10, 2020Data indicates that the worst may be behind us … at least for now.
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The 7-day average for new cases has been trending down for more than two weeks, from more than 67,000 on July 22 to 47,849 on Sunday.
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There are 49,039 Covid-related patients currently hospitalized. Hospitalizations are trending down and are below the 60,000 peaks reached on April 21 and July 27.
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The 7-day average for new reported deaths has also apparently peaked., trending from 1,246 on July 31 to the current 1,036, which is less than half of the peak reached on April 23 (2,229).
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The arrows are pointing in the right direction!
Aug. 10: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 10, 2020165,617 Deaths-to-Date
535 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,036 (peak 2.229 April 23)
47,849 New Cases
> 7-day average 54,289
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Details below…
Aug. 9: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 9, 2020165,070 Deaths-to-Date
980 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,025 (peak 2.229 April 23)
54.199 New Cases
> 7-day average 54,459
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Details below…
Aug. 8: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 8, 2020164,076 Deaths-to-Date
1,272 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,047 (peak 2.229 April 23)
62,541 New Cases
> 7-day average 55,063
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Details below…
How many people are walking around infected with Covid-19?
August 7, 2020Finally, some C-19 “prevalence” estimates…
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Loyal readers know that I’ve been frustrated by the lack of practical, personally-relevant data that the public health “experts” have been gathering, analyzing and disseminating.
For example, I’d like to know how likely I am to bump into a person who is infected with C-19 if I leave my house.
Reasonable question, right?
In infectious disease speak, that number is called the “prevalence rate” … the percentage of people in an area who are infectious-likely at a specific point in time.
Current testing procedures don’t answer the question (see: Why is COVID testing still so haphazard?) … so, the “experts” fixate on metrics that are muddled and potentially misleading (see: Birx: “Key metric that I watch is the positivity rate”).
Finally, I’ve stumbled on some “machine learning” analyses that take a stab at answering my question: What’s the Covid prevalence rate?
OK, let’s get to work…
Aug. 7: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 7, 2020162,804 Deaths-to-Date
1,203 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,074 (peak 2.229 April 23)
58,611 New Cases
> 7-day average 56,258
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Details below…
C-19: State-level Cases, Deaths, Rates
August 6, 2020Today, let’s drill down for some perspective…
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First, as oft-reported, NY & NJ lead the list for total deaths … the 2 states represent about 30% of the US total.
The Top 10 states account for 2/3’s of the US total.
Let’s dig deeper…
Aug. 6: C-19 Data Dashboard
August 6, 2020161,601 Deaths-to-Date
1,319 Daily New Deaths (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,109 (peak 2.229 April 23)
56,148 New Cases
> 7-day average 57,681
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Details below…
