April 13: Covid-19 UPDATE

Recommended Reading:

Flattening the COVID-19 curve

How will we know when we’ve turned the COVID-19 corner?

Remember when Cuomo (and the media) trashed Trump for not believing the models?

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TODAY”S DATA

1,635 Daily New Deaths   Worldometer
2 Consecutive decreasing days
1,055 in NY+NJ+CT   65% of Total US

Pivotal question: Past the apex?

IHME Model   Peak DND Projection:
1,983 on April 10  Prior forecast 2,212

image

Cumulative U.S. Deaths 
22,215  Worldometer
22,109  JHU

IHME Model Cumulative US Death Projection:
60,415 by Aug. 4  Rev. UP 130 on 4/12

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STATE DEATHS  Worldometer

Summary

  • NY+NJ+CT = 12,289  55% of US Total
       NY+NJ+CT = 10% U.S. Population
  • Top 12 Total = 18,745 84% of US Total
      Top 12 Average = 117 Deaths per Million
      Top 12 = 48% of U.S. Population
  • MD 235 Total Deaths  29 DNDs

State-by-State Data – Top 12

image

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