Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39

Which are the ones to watch?
=============

A loyal reader asked: The “Bottom 39” DND keeps rising, are there any particular states driving that?

So, I crunched some numbers looking at the past 3 weeks of data… May 3 until today (charts below).

During that period, there were 30,288 C-19 deaths in the U.S.

The Bottom 39 accounted for 8,601 of those deaths … that’s 28% of the total.

16 states (in the Bottom 39) had more than 200 deaths between May 3 and May 24.

Those 16 states accounted for 6,086 deaths … that’s 70% of the Bottom 39 total.

Note that:

The states near the top of the list of 16 are relatively large in population
Texas and North Carolina still have relatively low per capita death rates
Rhode Island and D.C. are low on the list of 16 (but in the Top 28) and have relatively high per capita death rates
Minnesota, Arizona, Mississippi, Iowa and New Mexico have more than doubled their death count since May 3

Here’s another cut at the data…

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Highest rate of Increase

Below are the 20 states in the Bottom 39 that have increased their total death counts by more than 70% since May 3.

8 of the 20 states have more than doubled their death counts … but, note that half of them (South Dakota, North Dakota, Utah and Nebraska) started the month with relatively low death counts …and have low per capita death rates (deaths per million residents)

=============

My take: Bottom 39 states to keep an eye on are Ohio, Texas,
Minnesota, Virginia, Mississippi, Iowa and New Mexico.

click to see ALL STATES COMPARATIVE DATA for May 3 to May 23

This entry was posted on May 24, 2020 at 2:29 pm and is filed under COVID-19 Tracking. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

25 Responses to “Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39”

May 25: C-19 Key NATIONAL Data | The Homa Files Says:
May 25, 2020 at 6:00 am | Reply
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Our slant on last week’s COVID news… | The Homa Files Says:
May 25, 2020 at 10:35 am | Reply
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May 26: C-19 Key STATES Data | The Homa Files Says:
May 26, 2020 at 6:13 am | Reply
[…] Bottom 39 Average = 118 Deaths/Million For details see Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]
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May 26, 2020 at 6:21 am | Reply
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May 27: C-19 Key STATES Data | The Homa Files Says:
May 27, 2020 at 6:37 am | Reply
[…] Bottom 39 Average = 120 Deaths/Million For details see Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]
May 27: C-19 Key NATIONAL Data | The Homa Files Says:
May 27, 2020 at 6:39 am | Reply
[…] IHME Model Cume US Death Projection: 131,967 by Aug. 4 Rev. DOWN 11,390 5/25 ============= click to see C-19 Key STATES Data, C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]
May 28: C-19 Key STATES Data | The Homa Files Says:
May 28, 2020 at 5:59 am | Reply
[…] Bottom 39 Average = 123 Deaths/Million For details see Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]
May 28: C-19 Key NATIONAL Data | The Homa Files Says:
May 28, 2020 at 6:00 am | Reply
[…] IHME Model Cume US Death Projection: 131,967 by Aug. 4 Rev. DOWN 11,390 5/25 ============= click to see C-19 Key STATES Data, C-19 Data Reference Guide: ALL STATES and Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39 […]
May 29: C-19 Key STATES Data | The Homa Files Says:
May 29, 2020 at 6:51 am | Reply
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May 29: C-19 Key NATIONAL Data | The Homa Files Says:
May 29, 2020 at 7:01 am | Reply
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June 3: C-19 Key STATES Data | The Homa Files Says:
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Data Recap: The BOTTOM 39

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