The Homa Files

President Trump is trailing badly in all of the polls, right?

On one measure that makes sense since.

According to a Gallup survey, registered voters say that Biden has the personality and leadership qualities that a president should have — 49% to 44%. (Upper bars)   

But, that gap is smaller than might be expected and neither candidate gets a majority of voters thinking they have the right stuff.

And, Trump has the upper hand on “agree with him on the issues” — 49% to 46%. (Lower bars above)

Hmmm.

So, how do people feel on the crux question:

Are you better off now than you were 4 years ago?

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Gotta admit that I thought Trump would get trounced on this issue.

If the survey had been taken in, say, January, I would have expected a resounding ‘yes’.

But, it wasn’t.

The survey was taken in mid-September … so it reflects COVID and the economic fallout of the lockdown.

So, the results surprised me.

A majority of registered voters (56%) say they’re better off than they were 4 years ago.  Only 32% said they are worse off.

Putting that number in context…

Trump’s “better off” score is much higher than either Obama’s (46%) or Bush’s (47%) had in their re-election years.

So, why is Trump trailing Biden in the polls?

My bet: Hate is a compellingly strong emotion — especially when stoked by an opposition media.

So, some people are willing to put aside their self-interests.

This entry was posted on October 12, 2020 at 9:55 am and is filed under 2020 Presidential Campaign. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.