Election: Battleground States

Headline: Biden leading in RCP Poll-of-Polls, but Trump closing gap.  Trump leading in Trafalgar poll. 

RCP Average – 6 Battlegrounds
Biden  49.3  Trump  43.5  +3.8

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Battlegrounds – State-by-State

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Technical Note:

There are 2 pollsters who are generally credited with getting the 2016 election right: IBD/TIFF and the Trafalgar Group.

The Trafalgar Group leans right, emphasizes state polls & predictions (especially the swing states) and claims to have a proprietary protocol that elicits replies from the “shy Trump voters”.

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