The Homa Files

In our prior post re: States’ Performance Rankings, we naively assumed that “all states are getting supplied vaccine roughly proportionate to their populations”.

I decided to test out that assumption and guess what?

Unless one takes a VERY broad interpretation of “roughly”, our going-in assumption is not true.

Let’s go through the numbers…

=============

The CDC reports Total Doses Distributed (by the Feds to the States) .. and Doses Administered per 100K  (by the states)– a per capita measure standardized based on each state’s population.

On average, states have received 14,769 per capita Doses Distributed (or, in my preferred terminology, “supplied”).

The  range runs from a low of 10,879 per 100K in South Carolina to 26,403 in Alaska … that’s a range of 15,000 per capita from high to low.

The Top 10 states average 17,751 — which is 20% higher than the average across all states.

Per capita, Alaska & DC have received 78% and 42% over the average, respectively.

Florida is the only big state of the Top 10 that has received disproportionately high vaccine distributions (7% more than average).

==============

At the other end of the list:

The Bottom 10 states average 12,702 per 100K — which is 16% lower than the all states’ average.

Worst Cases:  South Carolina & Nevada have received 26% and 18% under the per capitaaverage, respectively.

There are 3 large states in the Bottom 12 (Illinois, Ohio and Texas) that appear to be getting disproportionately low vaccine distributions.

=============

Is your state getting more or less than its fair share?

Below is a heat map with all states data …

============

Green = High / Above Average
Yellow & Orange = Average
Red    = Low /  Below Average

This entry was posted on February 1, 2021 at 10:00 am and is filed under COVID - vaccine, COVID-19 Tracking. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.