The Homa Files

OK, let’s see what the betting markets are now saying with less than a week to go…

The chart below summarizes what the PredictIt betting market and Election Betting Odds are saying about the key mid-term Senate races.

Bottom line: A GOP runaway in Ohio … a widening GOP lead in Nevada to near-runaway status … statistically significant but narrowing GOP lead in Pennsylvania and Georgia … a toss-up in Arizona.

=============

For comparison, here’s what the most favorable Dem-leaning NY Times poll is saying:

Both can’t be right.

My inclination: Follow the money!

This entry was posted on November 3, 2022 at 7:45 am and is filed under 2022 election, Polls & Surveys. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.