Archive for the ‘Ideas’ Category

Econ – Social & Market Norms

September 12, 2008

Excerpted from Predictably Irrational, Dan Ariely, HarperCollins Books, 2008

Social norms include the friendly requests that people make to one another … and reciprocity is neither immediate nor required … just because you help your neighbor move his couch doesn’t mean he has to run right over and help you move your’s.  The social actions themselves provide pleasure for both the giver and the receiver.”

Market norms are all about [valuing] benefits and making prompt payments.  When you play in the domain of market norms, you get what you pay for … there’s nothing warm and fuzzy about it.”

“Money is very often the most expensive way to motivate people.”  As soon as money is introduced to a transaction … any existing social contract is violated,  market norms take over,  and you get what you pay for, 

Example: AARP

AARP asked some lawyers if they would offer simple legal services to needy retirees at low prices — something like $30 an hour.  Most lawyers said no. 

Then, AARP asked lawyers if they would offer the same services free of charge to needy retirees.  Overwhelmingly, the lawyers said yes.  A market norm was transformed into a social norm — very successfully.

Example: Late Day Care Pickups

A day care center started fining parents who arrived late to pick up their children.  Counter-intuitively, the number of late pickups increased. 

Why?  Because a social norm — the embarrassment of showing up late to pick up your children — was replaced by a market norm — the amount of the fine.  So, with the social stigma removed, parents could simply decide whether it was worth it to them to pay the fine and show up late. 

Eventually the day care center stop collecting fines, and started publishing the names of late parents.

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Bottom line: Don’t underestimate the power of social norms, or overestimate the power of market norms and monetary compensation.

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Idea – Revive the Hybrid Car Tax Credit

July 18, 2008

As of the end of 2007 (before the recent surge in gas prices), there were just under 1 million hybrid vehicles in use in th U.S.

http://www.eere.energy.gov/afdc/data/docs/hev_sales_model_year.xls

As I recounted in a prior post, I was surprised that  — for practical purposes —  there aren’t any tax credits available for hybrid cars to offset some of their price premium over conventional autos.

The Energy Policy Act of 2005 provided income tax credits up to $3,400 (depending on the make & model of car), for hybrids purchased by individuals after January 1, 2006. 

 

But, the credits weren’t applicable to taxpayers falling into the Alternative Minimum Tax category, and only the first 60,000 hybrid vehicles sold by each manufacturer qualified.  The allowable credits were phased out as manufacturers approached their 60,000 limits. 

 

For example, a Prius qualified for $3,150 credit on January 1, 2006.  That got cut to $1,585 on October 1, 2006; $785.50 on April 1, 2007; and to zero on October 1, 2007.
 

           

     See  http://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/tax_hybrid.shtml for current hybrid tax incentives

 

The price premium for hybrids is somewhere between “statistically significant” and — with long payback periods — “economically disqualifying “.

 

So, wouldn’t it make sense to reinstitute some kind of tax incentive to stimulate the shift? It could be done quickly — with the stroke of a couple of pens.  

 

Make it big enough to matter, keep it both simple (no silly sliding scales) and broadly available (folks paying AMTare penalized enough), and watchdog the auto companies and dealers so they don’t just inflate the prices.

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Idea: Hybridize the Govt Vehicle Fleet

July 3, 2008

Ever notice all of those Post Office mini-trucks cruising their routes?

Bet you have since the USPS is often reported to operate the largest fleet of vehicles in the country (maybe the world). 

Assume that each those vehicles is on the road 6 to 8 hours per day; probably covering 76 to 100 miles per day.  That’s 24,000 to 36,000 miles per year (2 or 3 times an average family vehicle);  At a charitable 15 MPG — that’s about 2000 gallons of gas per year. 

At a Prius-like 45 MPG, that number goes down to about 650 gallons annually — 1,350 gallons less per year.   Multiply that times the number of vehicles in the fleet (thousands),  and we’re talking MILLIONS of gallons of gas. 

Rather than coaxing consumers to buy hybrids one at a time, why not convert the entire USPS fleet in one fell swoop? 

More broadly, why not legislate that all government vehicles be hybrids, flex-fuel, or some other energy saving alternative.  Makes sense to me. 

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Side note: According to Phrases.org “fell swoop” means “suddenly; in a single action”.  They say that Shakespeare either coined the phrase, or gave it circulation, in Macbeth, 1605:

MACDUFF: [on hearing that his family and servants have all been killed]
All my pretty ones?
Did you say all? O hell-kite! All?
What, all my pretty chickens and their dam
At one fell swoop?

Free Idea: “Drill Here, Drill Now” Referendums

June 21, 2008

This one is for the McCain campaign:

Given the popular support for drilling in ANWR (over 50% approval) and off-shore in the deep seas (over 70% approval), why not get some ballot initiatives going in battleground states (e.g.  the environmentally unaffected midwest states) — public referendums on whether or not to increase domestic drilling.  Wouldn’t be legally binding on anybody, but might turn out the (right) vote.