Posts Tagged ‘government spending’

Welfare: How much has been spent since LBJ declared the war on poverty?

October 1, 2012

Answer: About $17 trillion … but, there’s much more to the story.

There has been so much talk about welfare recently that I did some digging … not to judge good or bad, simply to to get some facts.

You can draw your own conclusions …

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Overview

According to Congressional testimony given by the Heritage Foundation, “welfare” refers means-tested federal programs providing cash, food, housing, medical care, social services, training, and targeted education aid to poor and low income Americans.

Means-tested programs are anti-poverty programs: they are intended to increase the living standards of improve the capacity for self-support among the poor and near-poor.

Means-tested welfare spending or aid to the poor consists of government programs that provide assistance deliberately and exclusively to poor and lower-income people.

For example, food stamps, public housing, Medicaid, and Temporary Assistance to Needy Families are means-tested aid programs that provide benefits only to poor and lower-income persons.

Non-welfare programs provide government benefits and services for the general population — all income levels.

For example, Social Security, Medicare, police protection, and public education are not means-tested per se.

But, Social Security benefit pay-out rates are lower for higher income people and Medicare premiums are higher for higher income people

There are 69 means-tested welfare programs operated by the federal government:

  • 12 programs providing food aid;
  • 10 housing assistance programs;
  • 10 programs funding social services;
  • 9 educational assistance programs;
  • 8 programs providing cash assistance;
  • 8 vocational training programs;
  • 7 medical assistance programs;
  • 3 energy and utility assistance programs; and,
  • 2 child care and child development programs.

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Spending

Since the beginning of the War on Poverty, government has spent $15.9 trillion (in inflation-adjusted 2008 dollars) on means-tested welfare.

In FY2011, federal spending on means-tested welfare, plus state contributions to federal programs, were about $940 billion.

Combined federal and state means-tested welfare is now the second largest category of overall government spending in the nation.

Means-tested welfare is  exceeded only by the combined cost of Social Security and Medicare.

Welfare spending is greater than the cost of public education and is greater than spending on national defense.

Total means-tested spending in 2008 was $708 billion … about $7,700 to $17,100 in means-tested spending for each poor American (depending on the estimating method) … on average, around $30,000 to $33,000 for a family of four … with about 1/3 of the amount going to medical care.

In FY 2011, total means-tested spending going to families with children … was around $33,000 per low income family with children.

In recent years …

  • 52 percent of total means-tested spending went to medical care for poor and lower-income persons,
  • 37 percent was spent on cash, food, and housing aid.
  • 11 percent was spent on social services, training, child development, targeted federal education aid, and community development.

Roughly half of means-tested spending goes to disabled or elderly persons.

The other half goes to lower-income families with children, most of which are headed by single parents.

Most of these lower-income families have some earned income. Average earnings within the whole group are typically about $16,000 per year per family.

If average welfare aid and average earnings are combined, the total resources available come to between $40,000 and $46,000 for each lower-income family with children in the U.S. … about 15%  below the total population’s median household income.

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Why are (some) people opposed to big government?

August 21, 2012

Background

A colleague and I have been exchanging ideas on this topic.

He’s more liberal than me (no surprise), so it’s an interesting exercise.

We’re starting to find some common ground and develop testable hypotheses.

Here’s one of our initial observations.

Chime in, please … would love your input on this and subsequent reveals.

 

The big shift in government’s “mission”

Long ago, say 40 or 50 years, the central government mission was to provide essential common services … such as military defense and national infrastructure (aka. “Transportation”).

That mission has become more “mixed” over time (see chart below).

Spending on the original essential common services – while still substantial — are proportionately decreased.

For example, military defense was almost 30% of Federal spending in 1970 … it’s less than 15% in 2012.

Some additional layers of spending – consistent with the original mission of essential common services – have been added.

For example, Homeland Security (aka. “Protection”) has been substantially ramped up.

But, the bulk of additional spending over time is attributable to health & welfare entitlements, public employee pensions, education (mostly new Federal programs and administration).

Time bomb warning: Note that “Interest” on the public debt has remained proportionately constant over the 40 year period.

But, of course, the components are very different.

In 1970, there was relatively low debt but high interest rates.

In 2012, we have very high debt with historically low interest rates.

The obvious uh-oh: what happens when interest rates jump up to more “normal” levels?

In other words, spending trends seem to validate the observation that the implicit “government” mission has expanded from a relatively sharp focus on providing essential common services by (1) expanding the scope of declared “essential common services (think DOE and Dept. of Education) and (2) re-missioning to become increasingly a transfer payment hub for “safety net” entitlements.

Ergo the rub.

More to come.

Your views?

 

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