Posts Tagged ‘Zuckerman’

Factoids: The state of the economy …

September 21, 2012

The economic analyses done by Mort Zuckerman at US News are always laden with cold facts.


Read the article for the prose. Here are the factoids:

  • Annual wage increases have dropped to an average of 1.6 percent, the lowest in the past 30 years.
  • A Census Bureau analysis  indicates that median income in 2011 had fallen to $50,054, the fourth straight year of decline.
  • Layoff announcements have risen from a year ago and hiring plans have dropped dramatically.
  • 5 million people have now been out of work for 27 weeks or more. That’s roughly 40 percent of the unemployed.
  • The average period of unemployment is close to 40 weeks.
  • Fewer Americans are at work today than in April 2000, even though the population has grown by 30 million people since then.
  • Older people are not leaving the workforce at the same rate as in the past … employment in the age group of 55 and older is up 3.9 million, even as total employment is down by five million.
  • The so-called quit rate has sagged to the lowest rate in years.
  • Young workers now face double-digit unemployment and job prospects for young workers aren’t very good.
  • As a result, the birth rate has just hit a 25-year low of 1.87 births per woman. And
  • Of jobs that have been added, more than 40 percent of new private sector jobs are in low-paying categories such as leisure and hospitality, bars, and restaurants
  • Millions of people who had good private sector jobs are now dependent on the government for life support.
  • Roughly 15 percent of the population, a record, representing over 46 million Americans, are in the food stamp program, compared to the 7.9 percent participation from 1970 to 2000.
  • A record 11 million-plus Americans are now collecting federal disability checks. Half of them have come on board since President Barack Obama took office.

Sure doesn’t look like we’ve turned the corner yet.

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Some economic statistics that’ll ruin your day … and, maybe your week.

April 23, 2012

Mort Zuckerman — head of U.S. News, not the Mark Zuckerberg, the guy at Facebook — was an Obama supporter in 2008.

Suffice it to say that he’s disappointed with the President’s accomplishments re: the economy.

His article President Obama’s Economic Programs Have Failed is worth reading in its entirety.

Here are a couple of data points from it …

  • The pool of unemployed Americans is 15 million  — that’s roughly equal to the entire population of the states of Connecticut, Delaware, Arkansas, Iowa, and Oklahoma.
  • 25% of households include someone who is unemployed and looking for work.
  • Among the jobless, a staggering 42% of the unemployed are long-term unemployed, without jobs for six months or longer.
  • Since 2008, some 3 million people have dropped out of the job market. If they hadn’t, the unemployment rate would be about 10.8%.
  • So-called structural unemployment has risen from 5 percent before the crisis to close to 7% today …. if so, many lost jobs that cannot be restored by boosting demand.
  • Hiring today is at about 70% of the 2006 level … so, job seekers are only about one third as likely to find work as in 2006.
  • Layoff announcements have risen 18% from a year ago, and hiring plans have dropped 82%.
  • The U.S has lost 6 million blue-collar manufacturing jobs.
  • 70% of job openings have been in mostly low-wage sectors, including healthcare, leisure, hospitality, and retail.
  • Some 7.7 million workers are stuck in part-time jobs, with pay inadequate for entry into the middle class.
  • 67% of the meager employment growth rate has been in the 55 and older age cohort.
  • The jobless rate for workers ages 20 to 24 is over 13%; teenagers, 25%; Hispanic teenagers, 30.5%; and black teenagers, 37.9%.
  • People with a college education face unemployment rates of about 4.2; those with a certificate from a community college or at least some college coursework have a jobless rate of 7.5%.
  • People who did not finish high school have it worst at almost 13%.
  • Two thirds of our employment is concentrated in 6 million small and medium-size businesses.
  • The U.S. needs 1 million new businesses every year to keep us on the right track. Instead we have only about 400,000 firms starting up.
  • Real per capita disposable income — adjusted for inflation — is down to  $32,600 now versus $34,641 back in 2006.
  • The ratio of total household debt to after-tax earnings is 117% — down from last year’s peak peak of 131%, but is still above the pre-bubble rate of 70%.

Zuckerman concludes: We are still in an era of deleveraging, rising savings rates, home price deflation, and squeezed real income, all of which will continue to affect consumer spending.”

Have a nice day …

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