Archive for September 27th, 2012

HOT – Can problem-solving be learned?

September 27, 2012

Here’s an encore HOT – Homa Online Tutorial – straight from the classroom to you via the HomaFiles.

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I sometimes get asked: Can problem-solving be learned or is hardwired into people’s DNA?

My view: DNA can help (e.g. raw brainpower can help) but “ordinary” folks can become adept problem-solvers.

How?

By internalizing models  i.e. simplifying frameworks) and protocols (i.e. analytical methods) … and applying them in a variety of contexts.

In doing so, the “devices” can be stored sub-consciously and retrieved consciously to solve problems.

That’s called intuition.

click to view

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Back to the Clinton years? … Dems: Be careful what you wish for.

September 27, 2012

Lots of articles have been written about how the the bottom 50% pays no Federal income taxes and the very top tiers pay vast shares.

The usual cry from the Dems: what about payroll taxes?

Then, they holler: go back to the rates in effect during the glorious Clinton years.

Well, the Independent Review pulled together Federal tax burdens back to 1980 … including payroll taxes

The key findings:

Since 1980, the bottom 40%’s share of total Federal taxes has almost halved … from about 9% to to 5%.

The top 10%’s share has grown about 15% … from 40% to almost 55%.

Most of the top 10%’s share  increase has landed where?

You guessed it … among the evil 1-percenters.

Geez.

If we could only get the wealthy to pay their fair share, we’d be out of this fiscal mess, right?

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The new Kraft : the spirit of a start-up and soul of a powerhouse

September 27, 2012

Punch line: CEO Tony Vernon sets lofty goals for the new North American standalone business.

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Excerpted from adage.com’s, “Kraft’s New Grocery Company Plans Marketing Boost in Search of Renaissance.”

kraft-net-revenue

Tony Vernon, the CEO of Kraft Foods’ new standalone North American grocery business  set lofty goals for the company, pledging to pour more advertising behind top “power” brands while slashing overhead to create a more nimble corporate culture.

Vernon said his goals are “nothing short of creating a renaissance in North American food and beverage.” He added:

“We will create a new Kraft, one with the spirit of a startup and the soul of a powerhouse.”

Mr. Vernon gave the most detailed look yet at his strategy for the $19 billion company. 

In a plan put in place last year, these grocery brands are being split from Kraft’s global snacking and candy products such as Trident and Oreo, which will become part of a company called Mondelez International.

Kraft is betting that the split will bring more focus to brands while creating two distinct investment choices for Wall Street.

Mondelez is positioned as a high-growth company with penetration in developing markets, such as Brazil and India, while Kraft Foods Group is full of category-dominant meat and cheese brands, which act as cash cows that will generate consistent dividends for investors.

The trick for Kraft Foods Group will be to differentiate its grocery brands in categories that risk becoming commoditized.

Vernon suggested that Kraft would spend more with marketing to catch up to peers.

Kraft Foods Group brand spent 2.9% of its net revenue on advertising in the latest fiscal year, compared to the 4.5% average spent by competitors, including 8.6% by Kellogg Co., 6.4% by Campbell Soup. Co. and 5.5% by General Mills.

family-guy-cool-whip-grab

As it puts more money in marketing, Kraft Foods Group will continue the strategy already underway in which top power brands, will get the lion’s share.

Those brands include Lunchables, Planters, Velveeta Shells & Cheese, Capri Sun, Jell-O, Philadelphia, Kraft Macaroni & Cheese, Kool-Aid, Miracle Whip, MiO and Gevalia.

Key non-power brands, such as A1, Athenos and Cool Whip, will be supported with more “entrepreneurial” methods,

Mr. Vernon said, including with digital advertising such as YouTube videos. Among the ads Mr. Vernon showed off to analysts is this YouTube spot for Cool Whip, featuring characters from TV show “Family Guy.”

Edit by BJP

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Crop shortfall starting to impact prices … at the grocery store and and at the pump

September 27, 2012

Punch line: Forecasts of U.S. corn and soybean yields are set to have a major impact on the prices we pay for everything from processed food to beef and poultry.

Crop forecase falls again - Image by flickr user nicora

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Excerpted from NYT.com, “Government Lowers Crop Yield Forecast Again”

The Agriculture Department  lowered its forecast of corn and soybean yields as record heat continued to batter crops in the Midwest.

The new data suggested that customers would pay more at the grocery store next year as the prices of corn and soybeans — major ingredients in processed food, animal feed and biofuels — rise to record levels.

The United States is the world’s largest exporter of corn and soybeans.

The report said exports of both crops would be substantially lower than last year, which could have a devastating effect on countries like China and Mexico, which depend heavily on American exports.

The report said beef and poultry production was expected to increase this year as livestock producers culled or sold their herds because of higher feed costs.

But prices for beef and poultry are expected to rise 4 to 5 percent next year.

Edit by JDC

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