Can a race change that much in 3 days?
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Earlier in the week, we tried to make sense of the WaPo-ABC poll that had Clinton leading by 12 … while IBD – the most accurate poll in 2012 had the race tied.
The 12 points just didn’t smell right.
Well, guess what?
WaPo-ABC is out with new poll results halving the Clinton lead to 6 points.

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So, what happened between Monday and Wednesday?
Not much as well as I can tell, except ….
WaPo-ABC juggled with their party weightings.
A couple of days ago, only 27% of likely voters were Republican … now it’s 29%.
That accounts for some (less than 2) of the 6 points.
The rest?
Can’t tell … they don’t report the details for voter preference by party, gender, race, etc.
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What are the other polls saying?
(more…)
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