Archive for October 28th, 2016

WaPo: “Err, let’s call it 4 points, not 6”

October 28, 2016

Update to this morning’s post …

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Hot off the Washington Post presses …

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P.S. Amazon misses earnings forecast … and warns that operating income may fall to zero.

Not a good day for Jeff Bezos ….

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WaPo: “Forget 12 points, maybe it’s only 6″

October 28, 2016

Can a race change that much in 3 days?

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Earlier in the week, we tried to make sense of the WaPo-ABC poll that had Clinton leading by 12 … while IBD – the most accurate poll in 2012 had the race tied.

The 12 points just didn’t smell right.

Well, guess what?

WaPo-ABC is out with new poll results halving the Clinton lead to 6 points.

 

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So, what happened between Monday and Wednesday?

Not much as well as I can tell, except ….

WaPo-ABC juggled with their party weightings.

A couple of days ago, only 27% of likely voters were Republican … now it’s 29%.

That accounts for some (less than 2) of the 6 points.

The rest?

Can’t tell … they don’t report the details for voter preference by party, gender, race, etc.

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What are the other polls saying?

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