Former Clinton strategist Mark Penn took an interesting analytical cut at survey results from Harvard’s Center for American Politics Studies CAPS.
Penn’s overall conclusion:
“The testimony of Ford and Kavanaugh had a powerful but not decisive effect on the public.”
Source: CAPS data; Penn analysis
Let’s drill down on the data logic…
“Kavanaugh Effect” awakening GOP voters.
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Interesting study conducted by NPR …
Prior to the Ford-Kavanaugh hearings, 78% of Dems considered the midterm elections to be very important.
The obvious underlying force: adversity to President Trump.
Only 68% of GOP considered the midterms to be very important.
Chalk that up to midterm complacency and confidence that all folks would appreciate that the economy is doing quite well.
That’s a 10 point gap in a proxy measure of voter enthusiasm and likelihood of turning out to vote.
Recent events have closed that gap…
The Homa Files 