Before climate change, there was the “Population Bomb”.

And, there are remarkable similarities.

Recently, in one of her articulated streams of consciousness, AOC warned that we all would be toast in 12 years if global warming wasn’t arrested.

Time to metal-cube our SUVs and mass-slaughter the bovine-methane creatures, right?

Well, not so fast.

While AOC’s warning may come to fruition, I’m betting the over on the 12 years … in part, because it fits a pattern of hysterical unrealized doomsday predictions.

For example, circa. 1970, Prof. Paul Ehrlich  (Stanford University) wrote Malthusian-inspired book: The Population Bomb. The book became a runaway “scientific” best-seller.


Ehrlich warned that because of unchecked population growth:

The battle to feed all of humanity is over.

Hundreds of millions of people are going to starve to death.

All of us will face mass starvation on a dying planet.

While their were some deniers, demographers agreed almost unanimously with Ehrlich’s doomsday prediction ….


For example, The Daily Signal recounts that Peter Gunter, then a professor at North Texas State University— echoed Ehrlich’s conclusion that mass starvation was in the world’s near-term future.

“Gunter spoke in language that should be all too familiar to those who have paid attention to the debate over climate change in modern times.”

Demographers agree almost unanimously on the following grim timetable:

By 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China and the Near East, Africa.

By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist under famine conditions.

By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine.

The 97%-like refrain, scientists almost unanimously agree … that the world will end by the year 2000.

Sitting here in 2019 –  alive & well & well fed – I think it’s reasonable to say that the unanimous scientific community was a tad off the mark with that one.

Not only has humanity not been wiped out by starvation, the death toll from famines has dropped to near zero.  Source


More generally, there’s strong evidence that undernourishment has dropped worldwide. Source



But, according to,  the Population Bomb was not without consequence.

The book set-off a wave of anti-population initiatives.

Some of the initiatives — such as the widespread availability and use of contraceptives —  were generally regarded as appropriate and acceptable.

Other initiatives — such as government forced sterilizations and  abortions in impoverished countries — seem, in retrospect, to have been “repressive and abusive”.

You can read the entire article and decide for yourself.


Follow on Twitter @KenHoma

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