Oct. 1: Election Odds & Polls

Big post-debate bump for Biden in betting odds
… stock market shrugged off debate.

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Biden +18.6 in odds, +6.6 in polls      

RCP – Betting Average  of 7 books’ odds
Biden 58.6   Trump 42   Lead 18.6 

Trump Best:   49.7  49.8   + .1   Sept. 2
Biden Best :
   60.9  30.6  +24.3  July 23

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Predict It   online betting site
Biden 62  Trump 42   Lead 20

Trump Best Aug 31:   53 48 +7
Biden Best July 23
 :   63 39 +24

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RCP – Poll of Polls – National
Biden 49.7  Trump 43.1   Lead 6.6
Undecided 7.2

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RCP – Poll of Polls – Battlegrounds
Biden 48.6  Trump 45.1  Lead 3.5
Undecided 6.3
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538 – Chance of Winning  Nate Silver
Biden 78  Trump 21  Lead 57

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