Archive for August 16th, 2022

Has the FBI raid backfired politically?

August 16, 2022

Interesting poll results from the right-leaning (and often “right” as in “correct”) Trafalgar Group.

They surveyed over 1,000 people after the FBI raid.

There were 2 central questions asked…


#1 Who do you believe is behind the FBI raid on President Trump’s private home?

  • Overall, there was an even split between “Trump’s political enemies” and “the fair judicial system”
  • A majority of Independents said that Trump’s political enemies were behind the raid.
  • Hispanics had, by far, the highest percentage of respondents who thought the raid was politically motivated.

One hypothesis for the last finding is that many (most?) Hispanics have roots to countries where similar political reprisals are common.



#2 Does the FBI raid on President Trump increase your motivation to vote in the 2022 election?

  • Overall, 70% of the people said that they were more motivated to vote (in the mid-terms) than they were before the raid.
  • Predictably, a sky high number of Republicans (83.3%) said they were more motivated than before.
  • Over 70% of Independents said they were more motivated to vote.
  • Hispanics had the highest percentage of respondents who were more likely to vote than before the raid.



A couple takeaways:

First, the FBI raid has generally increased motivation to vote … particularly, it appears to have stoked the fire under the GOP base.

Second, the raid seems to have accelerated a Hispanic shift towards the GOP.

Probably not the result that Team Biden was expecting.


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