Posts Tagged ‘presidential approval’

Polls: the ‘normal’ biases are back … whew!

April 16, 2012

A month ago — in a post titled  Head-scratching polling results — we pointed out:

… right-leaning FOX News has Obama +2 in approval, Rasmussen and Bloomberg — also usually a bit to the right — have him +1.

But, left-leaning Gallup has Obama down 7 points.

Far left-leaning CBS/NYT and ABC/Wash Post have him down 6 points and 4 points, respectively.

I thought those results were quite curious.

Well, I’m happy to report that the planets are back in alignment.

According to RCP, right-leaning Fox has Obama 6 points under water.

Left-leaning CNN, ABC, and Washington Post have him 5 to 6 points above water.

We’re back to the old normal … whew.

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Head-scratching polling results …

March 20, 2012

We haven’t been posting re: presidential approval numbers for awhile … the numbers have been bouncing around so much based on the news cycle that I largely dismiss them.

But, something in last week’s poll numbers caught my eye …

Note that right-leaning FOX News has Obama +2 in approval, Rasmussen and Bloomberg — also usually a bit to the right — have him +1.

But, left-leaning Gallup has Obama down 7 points.

Far left-leaning CBS/NYT and ABC/Wash Post have him down 6 points and 4 points, respectively.

I think the latter two are what caused last week’s hand-wringing among Obamites, since NYT & Wash Post have a reputation for over-sampling Dems in their surveys.  So, it’s harder for Dems to dismiss them than, say, Fox News.I still don’t make much of the results, but think they’re interesting …

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Source:
RCP

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Uh-oh: Obama slips among youth and independents …

December 19, 2011

I’ve said before: I have run into folks who voted for Obama in 2008 who say they won’t vote for him in 2012, but haven’t run into anybody who didn’t vote for him in 2008 who say they will in 2012.

Data seems to confirm my random anecdotal evidence …

From the latest Allstate/National Journal Heartland Monitor poll:

Not only is Pres. Obama’s overall approval rating lagging, but he’s lost as much (or even more) ground among groups that favored him in 2008 as among those who resisted him last time.

Overall, Obama has slipped from 52.8 percent of the vote in 2008 to 44 percent approval in the new survey with 49 percent disapproving.

As the chart below shows, Obama has declined not only in the groups that were always dubious of him, but also with several that enthusiastically joined his winning 2008 majority.

The groups that have proven most resistant to this trend are Hispanics (where Obama’s latest approval rating has slipped just three percentage points from his 2008 vote share); seniors (where he’s actually running slightly ahead) and families earning at least $100,000 annually (where he’s also fallen just three percentage points.)

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