Archive for September 18th, 2008

Biden: Be a patriot, pay more taxes

September 18, 2008

Excerpted from AP: ” Biden calls paying higher taxes a patriotic act”, September 18, 2008

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Democratic vice presidential candidate Joe Biden said Thursday that paying more in taxes is the patriotic thing to do for wealthier Americans. The Republican campaign for president calls the tax increases their Democratic opponents propose “painful” instead of patriotic.

Under the economic plan proposed by Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama, people earning more than $250,000 a year would pay more in taxes while those earning less — the vast majority of American taxpayers — would receive a tax cut.

Noting that wealthier Americans would indeed pay more, Biden said: “It’s time to be patriotic … time to jump in, time to be part of the deal, time to help get America out of the rut.”

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Full article:
ttp://www.realclearpolitics.com/news/ap/politics/2008/Sep/18/biden_calls_paying_higher_taxes_a_patriotic_act.html

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Reminder: Boiled down to its essence, Senator Obama’s complicated tax plan reduces to the  redistribution of over $100 billion in income each year by taking an average of about $20,000 in additional annual income taxes from about 5 million people, and redistributing the loot to 200 million others — about $500  per person in annual refundable tax credits.  That’s slightly more than a buck-a-day.

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Getting Real About Health Care

September 18, 2008

Excerpted from Newsweek: “Getting Real About Health Care
It’s not about coverage. It’s about costs.”, Robert J. Samuelson
Sep 6, 2008

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Note: There are roughly 45 million uninsudred people in the U.S.  Approximately 1/3 are not legal citizens; approximately 1/3 are in the top 1/2 of wage earners (i.e. over the $50,000 median); approximately 40% are 19 to 34, relatively healthy and, in effect, choose to self-insure.

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Summary; Emphasis should be on fundamental restructuring of costs:     more electronic record-keeping, better case management, fewer dubious tests and procedures (i.e. unnecessary, duplicative), contained end-of-life treatment.

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Article

46 million Americans … or almost one in seven lack health insurance.

By impressive majorities, Americans regard this as a moral stain. Sen. Ted Kennedy echoed the view of many that health care is a “right” that demands universal insurance. This is a completely understandable view and one that is, I think, utterly wrong.

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Health care should be at the top of the agenda. But the central problem is not improving coverage. It’s controlling costs.

In 1960, health care accounted for $1 of every $20 spent in the U.S. economy; now that’s $1 of every $6, and …  it could be $1 of every $4 by 2025.  Ponder that: a quarter of the U.S. economy devoted to health care.

Countless studies have shown that many diagnostic tests, surgeries and medical devices are either ineffective or unneeded.

Greater health spending should not have the first moral claim on our wealth, because its relentless expansion is slowly crowding out other national needs.

For government, higher health costs threaten other programs—schools, roads, defense, scientific research—and put upward pressure on taxes. For workers, increasingly expensive insurance depresses take-home pay, as employers funnel more compensation dollars into coverage. There’s also a massive and undesirable income transfer from the young to the old, accomplished through taxes and the cross-subsidies of private insurance, because the old are the biggest users of medical care.

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It is widely assumed that health care, like most aspects of American life, shamefully shortchanges the poor. This is less true than it seems.

Data show that, on average, annual health spending per person—from all private and government sources—is equal for the poorest and the richest Americans. In 2003, it was $4,477 for the poorest fifth and $4,451 for the richest.

The reason: government already insures more than a quarter of the population, including many of the poor. Medicare covers the elderly; Medicaid, many of the poor and their children; SCHIP (State Children’s Health Insurance Program), more children.

Another reason, stems from the skewing of health spending toward the very sick and dying; 10 percent of patients account for two thirds of spending. People in this unfortunate group, regardless of income, get thrust onto a conveyor belt of costly care: long hospital stays, many tests, therapies and surgeries.

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That includes the uninsured. In 2008, their care will cost about $86 billion, … The uninsured pay about $30 billion themselves; the rest is uncompensated.

Of course, no sane person wants to be without health insurance, and the uninsured receive less care and, by some studies, suffer abnormally high death rates. But other studies suggest only minor disadvantages for the uninsured.

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We need more realism on health care. The trouble with casting medical-care as a “right” is that this ignores how open-ended the “right” should be and how fulfilling it might compromise other “rights” and needs.

What makes people healthy or unhealthy are personal habits, good or bad (diet, exercise, alcohol and drug use); genetic makeup, lucky or unlucky, and age. Health care, no matter how lavishly provided, can only partially compensate for these individual differences.

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There is a basic moral and political dilemma that most Americans refuse to acknowledge. What we all want for ourselves and our families—access to unlimited care paid for by someone else—may be ruinous for us as a society.

Sensible limits must somehow be imposed.

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The crying need now is not to insure all the uninsured. This would be expensive (an additional $123 billion a year, estimates the Kaiser study) and would provide modest health gains at best since 40% of the uninsured are young (19 to 34) and relatively healthy.

The compelling need now is to limit the runaway increases in spending that make private and government insurance more expensive and may not deliver significant health improvements.

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Both McCain and Obama have health-care proposals that …  largely ignore the massive health-care challenge already sitting in the government’s lap: Medicare.

By some studies, 30 percent of Medicare spending may go to unneeded services that do not enhance recipients’ well-being.

Medicare is so large and influential that by altering how it operates, government can reshape the entire health-care system. This would require changes in rules and reimbursements to encourage more electronic record-keeping, better case management, fewer dubious tests and procedures, and a fairer sharing of costs between the young and the old.

The work would be unglamorous and probably unpopular. But if the next president won’t—or can’t—do it, his presidency will fail in one fateful way.

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Full article:
http://www.newsweek.com/id/157573

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Strategy: Lessons from Obama’s Campaign

September 18, 2008

Excerpted from MSNBC: Obama’s woes have nothing to do with ‘lipstick’, by Howard Fineman,  Sept. 10, 2008

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Note: Fineman is a left-leaning political commentator. I thought this piece was an interesting strategic analysis.   Try to put the politics aside — whether you agree or disagree — and pull out the strategy lessons.

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For two years, Obama played the golf course of presidential politics with the ice-cold self-assuredness of a Tiger Woods. But since securing the Democratic nomination, he’s made a series of strategic errors that could jeopardize his chances in November.

Here’s my list of his errant shots:

Declining to take federal financing for the general election
This mistake is multi-pronged. Obama stands accused of flip-flopping … appears to have ceded some higher ground to McCain, who, with his public funding, appears slightly more immune to interest groups …  will have to leave the campaign trail more often to headline fundraising events.

Declining McCain’s offer to hold ten town hall debates
When Obama was leading the race in leaps and bounds, he blew off this GOP proposal. Too bad. Had Obama locked in that deal, he would now be able to confront McCain face-to-face about some of the Republicans’ more aggressive … claims.

Failing to go all the way with the Clintons
I know, the Clintons are difficult to deal with and probably hope Obama fails.  They are not eager to do so, but it was still Obama’s task to trap them into displays of political enthusiasm. Obama also neglected to court Clinton fundraisers and supporters in places like Los Angeles. 

The 22-state strategy
For months, the Obama campaign invested advertising time and organizing money in an impressive array of red states that haven’t been on the Democrats’ radar in recent elections … for the most part, it was a waste of assets … He’d be more successful focusing on traditional battlegrounds.

Failing to state a sweeping, but concrete, policy idea
It is not enough to be for change – everybody is, or is trying to be. To make it stick, Obama needed, and needs, to put forth an easy-to-grasp grand proposal, one that would encapsulate what his central message … Instead, he’s got more of a laundry list than an actual rallying cry.

Remaining trapped in professor-observer speak
When you listen to Obama, it sometimes feels like you’re hearing a smart but distant analysis of the political scene. He sounds like a writer or teacher, but not the leader of a political crusade … Voters want an action plan, not an exegesis.

Failing to attack McCain early
Obama was wary of attacking a man who had suffered so much during the Vietnam War – an understandable emotion. But that wariness, combined with Obama’s natural inclination to be seen as the nice guy (one who lets others do the knifing) lead to an unfortunate result. It gave two free months for McCain to build up a head of steam as a war hero, as opposed to … a man beholden to corporate interests and a likely clone of George W. Bush. 

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I would be worried that his mistakes have a common thread – pride.

Obama seems to want to do things on his own, and on his own terms. It’s understandable. Obama has his own crowd – from Chicago, from Harvard, and from a new cadre of wealthy, Ivy-educated movers and shakers.

“He’s an arrogant S.O.B.,” one of the latter told me today. “He wants to do it his way, and his way alone.” But politics doesn’t work that way.

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Full article:
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/26640489/

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Gimme a break: An AIG winner …

September 18, 2008

American International Group said it paid a $47 million severance package to former Chief Executive Martin J. Sullivan, who “resigned”.

Sullivan, left his position in mid-June after two quarters of record losses at AIG, will receive severance of $15 million, and a bonus of $4 million for the portion of the year he worked, according to a regulatory filing.

Sullivan also will hold on to outstanding equity and long-term cash awards valued at about $28 million, the filing said.

Reference:
http://clipmarks.com/clipmark/C85E7BC6-2172-46E7-B07E-5412446AB182/

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Tapping the wisdom of workers …

September 18, 2008

Excerpted from WSJ: “Best Buy Taps ‘Prediction Market’- Imaginary Stocks Let Workers Forecast Whether Retailer’s Plans Will Meet Goals”, Sept. 16, 2008

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When executives at electronics retailer Best Buy  want to know if a new product or idea is likely to succeed, they can seek the opinion of rank-and-file employees by turning to the company’s “prediction market.”

The market, called TagTrade, allows Best Buy’s workers to trade imaginary stocks based on answers to managers’ questions. The market’s judgment has often proved to be more accurate than the company’s official forecasts.

Associated PressTagTrade is open to all of Best Buy’s 115,000 U.S. employees. The roughly 2,100 of them who choose to participate get $1 million in fake money to trade for a nine-month period. The top trader in the period wins a $200 gift certificate.

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Best Buy isn’t the only company using prediction markets as a way to tap the knowledge of front-line employees. Web-search giant Google Inc. uses them to solicit forecasts on everything from how many users its Gmail service will attract to whether products will launch on time. Other companies that have experimented with them include General Electric,Intel Corp. and Microsoft.

Best Buy’s chief executive, Bradbury Anderson, …  drives decision-making down the corporate ladder and information up toward the top. Mr. Anderson says narrowing the gap between management and workers helps to make his company more nimble and responsive to customers, while boosting sales and profits.

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Full article:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122152452811139909.html#printMode

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