The Homa Files

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Why is New York ablaze while California is just simmering?

Why have the model’s forecasts dropped so much?

What you need to know about the IHME Model…

How strictly are you complying to stop the spread?

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TODAY”S DATA

Cumulative U.S. Deaths 
18.761  Worldometer
18.777   JHU

IHME Model Cumulative US Death Projection:
60,415 by Aug. 4 Rev. DOWN 21,351 on 4/7

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2,064 Daily New Deaths   Worldometer
4 Consecutive days ~ 2,000 DND
Pivotal question: An apex or a plateau?
1,,077 in NY+NJ+CT

IHME Model Peak DND Projection:
2,212 on April 12  Revised DOWN 918 on 4/7

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State-by-State Detail …

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State Deaths to Date Worldometer

• NY+NJ+CT = 10,224  55% of US Total
     NY+NJ+CT = 10% U.S. Population
• Top 12 Total = 15,826 85% of US Total
    Top 12 Average = 99 Deaths per Million
    Top 12 = 48% of U.S. Population
• Indiana is #13 with 300 Deaths
• MD 171 Total Deaths  33 DNDs

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This entry was posted on April 11, 2020 at 6:30 am and is filed under COVID-19 Tracking. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.