April 12: Covid-19 UPDATE

Recommended Reading:

How strictly are you complying to stop the spread?

What you need to know about the IHME Model…

Why have the model’s forecasts dropped so much?

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TODAY”S DATA

1,819 Daily New Deaths   Worldometer
5 Consecutive days ~ 2,000 DND
1,,077 in NY+NJ+CT   59% of Total US

Pivotal question: An apex or a plateau?

IHME Model   Peak DND Projection:
2,212 on April 12  Revised DOWN 918 on 4/7

image

Cumulative U.S. Deaths 
20,580  Worldometer
20,608   JHU

IHME Model Cumulative US Death Projection:
60,415 by Aug. 4 Rev. DOWN 21,351 on 4/7

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STATE DEATHS  Worldometer

Summary

  • NY+NJ+CT = 11,304  55% of US Total
       NY+NJ+CT = 10% U.S. Population
  • Top 12 Total = 17,371 84% of US Total
      Top 12 Average = 109 Deaths per Million
      Top 12 = 48% of U.S. Population
  • MA, IL moving up in ranking
  • Indiana is #13 with 330 Deaths +30 DND
  • MD 206 Total Deaths  35 DNDs

State-by-State Data – Top 12

 

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