A conceptual rationale for why COVID cases are surging but deaths aren’t.
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All along I’ve been arguing that the truest and most relevant measure of COVID-fighting is the death rate.
MUST READ: How will we know when we’ve turned the COVID-19 corner?
And, I’ve recently been showcasing the relationship between confirmed cases and deaths.
The data says: Since mid-April, the number of daily confirmed cases has more than doubled, but the number of daily new reported deaths has apparently stabilized at about half of mid-April levels.
How can that be?
Here’s a way of thinking about the how & why…
