The Homa Files

As I’ve said before, when I’m looking for near real time, “skin in the game”, quantitative assessment of elections, I go to the PredictIt betting market and, more recently, Election Betting Odds (which tries to incorporate the polls and other information).

The chart below summarizes what they’re saying about the key mid-term Senate races.

Bottom line: A GOP runaway in Ohio … a statistically significant GOP lead in Pennsylvania, Nevada and Georgia … a slight GOP lead in Arizona.

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P.S. Election Betting Odds has a very cool interactive map … you can hover over a state to see its specific numbers.

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Disclosure: Long, long ago, I worked on the business staff of The Daily Princetonian with John Stossel — one of the authors of the Election Betting Odds site

This entry was posted on October 31, 2022 at 8:07 am and is filed under 2022 election, Polls & Surveys. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.