What the polls are saying…
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Yesterday, we recapped the betting markets and odds.
Today — the day before the mid-term elections — let’s recap the major polls: the RCP poll-of-polls, Trafalgar (right-leaning, historically accurate), NYT/Sienna (left-lurching) and, of course, Nate Silver’s 535.
Bottom line:
- Runaway for Vance in Ohio
- Strong lean to Laxalt in Nevada
- Slight lean to Walker in GA (Kemp’s coattails, UGA football is the talk of the state and Hershel’s a UGA football icon)
- Pollster duel in PA: Trafalgar has Oz up by 2; Silver has Fetterman winning … in rallies Trump drew an overflow of 17,000; Obama only filled half of a 10,000 seat arena
- Masters close but no cigar in in Arizona
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