Vaccine Supply & Vaccinations
Vaccine Stockpile Doses NOT Administered
Vaccinations per Day
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Link to State by State Data
Archive for the ‘COVID-19 Tracking’ Category
Feb. 9: COVID VAX Stats
February 9, 2021Feb. 9: COVID Tracking Data
February 9, 2021Cases & Deaths
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Case Fatality Rate
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Hospitalizations
Source: RonaViz.com
VAX: Some of the unused vaccine inventory has been found!
February 8, 2021We hate to say that we told you so, but…
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A couple of weeks ago, we pointed out that there were about 25 million “unused” doses of vaccine … and, they were probably being held in inventory by CVS & Walgreens (leftover from the program to vaccinate nursing homes) and hospitals (a “reserve” for 2nd shots and slow adopting medical staffs).
Our advice: claw back that excess inventory and redeploy it to high velocity vaccinators.
For background and details, see VAX Dx: Where the hell is the vaccine inventory?
Well, it took for “the science” and “the data” awhile to catch up, but according to the weekend Washington Post:
The federal government allocated too much vaccine to CVS & Walgreens to vaccinate patients and staff at nursing homes and long-term care facilities.
The doses — which were counted as part of each state’s allotment – over-counted the number of residents to be vaccinated, over-estimated the percentage of staff that would want the vaccine and didn’t realize that a 6th dose could be squeezed out of many vials.
Finally, many states are starting to “repurpose” and redistribute hundreds of thousands of the unused doses to others outlets,
States can defer or cancel subsequent allocations to long-term-care facilities, transfer doses to the states’ general pool for reallocation to other vaccinators or leave excess vaccine doses with CVS and Walgreens who will soon begin vaccinating the general public in some states.
The CDC didn’t provide an estimate of how much excess CVS & Walgreens were holding.
My hunch: at least couple of million doses… a statistically significant amount at current supply rates … at least a couple of days worth of production … maybe more.
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Ok, they’re finally onto one pocket of unused available supply.
Going forward, here’s what to keep your eye on:
Our morning “VAX stats” post includes a chart showing the U.S. Vaccine Stockpile — the difference between “doses distributed” by the Feds and the “doses administered” by the states and locales.
The number has been hovering around 20 million doses.
Now that the majority of doses are being used as 2nd shots to the folks who got first shots in January, this “reserve” should be deployed and the above curve should quickly start to turn down — steeply as the 2nd dose reserves are being released.
If it doesn’t, you can bet that we’ll be on the case.
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P.S. West Virginia was the only state that didn’t participate in the Federal government’s partnership with CVS & Walgreens. Rather, WV used a network of local WV pharmacies to service nursing homes and long-term-care facilities. As a result, WV completed vaccinating those high priority facilities about a month before other states … and, the state has had a high vaccine utilization rate since doses were never stuck the CVS – Walgreen’s inventory.
Feb. 8: COVID VAX Stats
February 8, 2021Vaccine Supply & Vaccinations
Vaccine Stockpile Doses NOT Administered
Vaccinations per Day
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Link to State by State Data
Feb. 8: COVID Tracking Stats
February 8, 2021Cases & Deaths
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Case Fatality Rate
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Hospitalizations
Source: RonaViz.com
Feb. 7 COVID VAX Stats
February 7, 2021Vaccine Supply & Vaccinations
Vaccine Stockpile Doses NOT Administered
Vaccinations per Day
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Link to State by State Data
Feb. 7:COVID Tracking Stats
February 7, 2021Cases & Deaths
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Case Fatality Rate
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Hospitalizations
Source: RonaViz.com
Feb. 6: COVID Tracking Stats
February 6, 2021Cases & Deaths
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Case Fatality Rate
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Hospitalizations
Source: RonaViz.com
Feb, 5: COVID VAX Stats
February 5, 2021Vaccine Supply & Vaccinations
Supply Utilization
Vaccinations per Day
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Link to State by State Data
Feb. 5: COVID Tracking Stats
February 5, 2021Cases & Deaths
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Case Fatality Rate
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Hospitalizations
Source: RonaViz.com
Feb. 4: COVID VAX Stats
February 4, 2021Vaccine Supply & Vaccinations
Supply Utilization
Vaccinations per Day
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Link to State by State Data
Feb. 4: COVID Tracking Stats
February 4, 2021Cases & Deaths
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Case Fatality Rate
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Hospitalizations
Source: RonaViz.com
Feb. 3: COVID VAX Stats
February 3, 2021Vaccine Supply & Vaccinations
Supply Utilization
Vaccinations per Day
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Link to State by State Data
Feb. 3: COVID Tracking Stats
February 3, 2021Cases & Deaths
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Case Fatality Rate
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Hospitalizations
Source: RonaViz.com
Feb. 2: COVID Vax Metrics
February 2, 2021Vaccine Supply & Vaccinations
Supply Utilization
Vaccinations per Day
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Link to State by State Data
Feb. 2: COVID Tracking Stats
February 2, 2021Cases & Deaths
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Case Fatality Rate
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Hospitalizations
Source: RonaViz.com
Oops: Not all states are getting their ‘fair share’ of vaccine.
February 1, 2021In our prior post re: States’ Performance Rankings, we naively assumed that “all states are getting supplied vaccine roughly proportionate to their populations”.
I decided to test out that assumption and guess what?
Unless one takes a VERY broad interpretation of “roughly”, our going-in assumption is not true.
Let’s go through the numbers…
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The CDC reports Total Doses Distributed (by the Feds to the States) .. and Doses Administered per 100K (by the states)– a per capita measure standardized based on each state’s population.
On average, states have received 14,769 per capita Doses Distributed (or, in my preferred terminology, “supplied”).
The range runs from a low of 10,879 per 100K in South Carolina to 26,403 in Alaska … that’s a range of 15,000 per capita from high to low.
The Top 10 states average 17,751 — which is 20% higher than the average across all states.
Per capita, Alaska & DC have received 78% and 42% over the average, respectively.
Florida is the only big state of the Top 10 that has received disproportionately high vaccine distributions (7% more than average).
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At the other end of the list:
The Bottom 10 states average 12,702 per 100K — which is 16% lower than the all states’ average.
Worst Cases: South Carolina & Nevada have received 26% and 18% under the per capitaaverage, respectively.
There are 3 large states in the Bottom 12 (Illinois, Ohio and Texas) that appear to be getting disproportionately low vaccine distributions.
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Is your state getting more or less than its fair share?
Below is a heat map with all states data …
Feb. 1: COVID Vax Metrics
February 1, 2021Vaccine Supply & Vaccinations
Supply Utilization
Vaccinations per Day
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Link to State by State Data
Feb. 1: COVID Tracking Stats
February 1, 2021Cases & Deaths
Case Fatality Rate
Hospitalizations
Source: RonaViz.com
Jan. 31: VAX Key Metrics
January 31, 2021Vaccine Supply & Vaccinations
Supply Utilization
Vaccinations per Day
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Link to State by State Data
Jan. 31: COVID Tracking Stats
January 31, 2021Cases & Deaths
Case Fatality Rate
Hospitalizations
Source: RonaViz.com
Jan. 29: COVID Key Charts
January 29, 2021
Jan. 28: COVID Key Charts
January 28, 2021
Jan. 27: COVID Key Charts
January 27, 2021
Jan 26: COVID – 3 Key Charts
January 26, 2021
Jan. 25: COVID Data Dashboard
January 25, 2021Vaccinations: U.S. Total
Doses Distributed 41.4 MM
Doses Inoculated 21.8 MM
% Pop Vaxed 6.6 %
Current Day Shots 1,312 K
7-day average 1,678 K <<<<<
Source: CDC Updated: 1/24/2021
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429,490 Deaths-to-Date
1,844 Daily New Deaths (peak 4,100 Jan. 12)
> 7-day average 3,206 (peak 3,446 Jan. 14)
Confirmed Cases
134,820 New Cases
> 7-day average 169,582
Currently Hospitalized
110,628 Current level
> 7-day average 118,688
VAX: Key State-by-State Metrics
January 22, 2021Key metrics: (1) Percentage of population vaccinated (2) Percentage of available doses used (measures state delivery efficiency)
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4.5% of the U.S. Population has received at least 1 vaccination shot
Top 10 States (Highest Percentages)
Bottom 10 (Lowest Percentages)
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More than 20 million doses that have been distributed to states are still sitting on the shelf.
10 States account for more than 50% of the doses still sitting on the shelf … 2.7 million in CA
Bottom 10 States – Percentage of Doses Received that have been “shot in arms”
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Data Source: CDC
Jan. 22: COVID Data Dashboard
January 22, 2021More than 1 million vaccinations!
Vaccinations: U.S. Total
Doses Distributed 38.0 MM
Doses Inoculated 17.5 MM
% Pop Vaxed 5.3 %
Current Day Shots 1,021 K <<<<<
7-day average 814 K
Source: CDC Updated: 1/21/2021
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419,992 Deaths-to-Date
4,082 Daily New Deaths (peak 4,100 Jan. 12)
> 7-day average 3,153 (peak 3,446 Jan. 14)
Confirmed Cases
185,774 New Cases
> 7-day average 183,035
Currently Hospitalized
119,927 Current level
> 7-day average 124,008
Jan. 21: COVID Data Dashboard
January 21, 2021Vaccinations: U.S. Total
Doses Distributed 36.0 MM
Doses Inoculated 16.5 MM
% Pop Vaxed 5.0 %
Current Day Shots 900 K
7-day average 817 K
Source: CDC Updated: 1/20/2021
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415,558 Deaths-to-Date
4,008 Daily New Deaths (peak 4,100 Jan. 12)
> 7-day average 3,136 (peak 3,446 Jan. 14)
Confirmed Cases
179,034 New Cases
> 7-day average 189,240
Currently Hospitalized
123,820 Current level
> 7-day average 126,395
Jan. 18: COVID Data Dashboard
January 18, 2021Vaccinations: U.S. Total
Doses Distributed 31.2 MM
Doses Inoculated 12.3 MM
% Pop Vaxed 3.71 %
Current Day Shots 1.13 MM
7-day average 777 K
Source: CDC Updated: 1/15/2021
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407,151 Deaths-to-Date
1,685 Daily New Deaths (peak 4,100 Jan. 12)
> 7-day average 3,402 (peak 3,446 Jan. 14)
Confirmed Cases
150,595 New Cases
> 7-day average 207,432
Currently Hospitalized
127,235 Current level
> 7-day average 129,671
Jan. 15: COVID Data Dashboard
January 15, 2021Vaccinations: U.S. Total
Doses Distributed 30.6 MM
Doses Inoculated 11.1 MM
% Pop Vaxed 3.37 %
Current Day Shots 871 K
7-day average 682 K
Source: CDC Updated: 1/14/2021
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397,719 Deaths-to-Date
3,993 Daily New Deaths (peak 4,100 Jan. 12)
> 7-day average 3,446 (peak 3,446 Jan. 14)
Confirmed Cases
229,210 New Cases
> 7-day average 230,509
Currently Hospitalized
138,383 Current level
> 7-day average 130,828
Jan. 12: COVID Data Dashboard
January 12, 2021Vaccinations: U.S. Total
Doses Distributed 25.5 MM
Doses Inoculated 9.0 MM
% Pop Vaxed 2.72 %
Current Day Shots 766 K
Source: CDC Updated: 1/11/2021
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385,089 Deaths-to-Date
1,753 Daily New Deaths (peak 3,474 Dec. 9)
> 7-day average 3,292 (peak 3,309 Jan. 10)
Confirmed Cases
190,896 New Cases
> 7-day average 238,652
Currently Hospitalized
129,229 Current level
> 7-day average 130,877
Jan. 11: COVID Data Dashboard
January 11, 2021Vaccinations: U.S. Total
Doses Distributed 22.1 MM
Doses Inoculated 6.9 MM
% Pop Vaxed 2.02 %
Current Day Shots 769 K
Source: CDC Updated: 1/8/2021
Note: No weekend reporting
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383,236 Deaths-to-Date
1,753 Daily New Deaths (peak 3,474 Dec. 9)
> 7-day average 3,309 (peak 3,309 Jan. 10)
Confirmed Cases
205,550 New Cases
> 7-day average 237,360
Currently Hospitalized
130,777 Current level
> 7-day average 130,350
Jan. 8: COVID Data Dashboard
January 8, 2021Vaccinations: U.S. Total
Doses Distributed 21.4 MM
Doses Inoculated 5.9 MM
% Pop Vaxed 1.8 %
Current Day Shots 613 K
Source: CDC Updated: 1/6/2021
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373,796 Deaths-to-Date
3,806 Daily New Deaths (peak 3,474 Dec. 9)
> 7-day average 2,787 (peak 2,805 Dec. 23)
Confirmed Cases
251,950 New Cases
> 7-day average 218,879
Currently Hospitalized
132,978 Current level
> 7-day average 127,352
Jan. 7: COVID Data Dashboard
January 7, 2021Vaccinations: U.S. Total
Doses Distributed 17,288,950
Doses Inoculated 5,306797
Doses Inventory 1,982,153
Current Day Shots 470,328
Source: CDC Updated: 1/6/2021
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369,594 Deaths-to-Date
3,711 Daily New Deaths (peak 3,474 Dec. 9)
> 7-day average 2,688 (peak 2,805 Dec. 23)
Confirmed Cases
241,445 New Cases
> 7-day average 209,516
Currently Hospitalized
132,476 Current level
> 7-day average 127,532
Jan. 6: COVID Data Dashboard
January 6, 2021Vaccinations: U.S. Total
Doses Distributed 17,020,575
Doses Inoculated 4,836,469
Current Day Shots 806,078
Doses in Inventory 12,184,106
Source: CDC Updated: 1/4/2021
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365,595 Deaths-to-Date
3,474 Daily New Deaths (peak 3,474 Dec. 9)
> 7-day average 2,717 (peak 2,805 Dec. 23)
Confirmed Cases
225,103 New Cases
> 7-day average 208,531
Currently Hospitalized
128,210 Current level
> 7-day average 125,387
Jan. 5: COVID Data Dashboard
January 5, 2021Vaccinations: U.S. Total
Doses Distributed 15,418,500
Doses Inoculated 4,563,260
% Doses Used 29.6%
Inoculations / Day 168,752
Source: CDC Updated: 1/4/2021
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362,043 Deaths-to-Date
1,905 Daily New Deaths (peak 3,156 Dec. 9)
> 7-day average 2,694 (peak 2,805 Dec. 23)
Confirmed Cases
181,505 New Cases
> 7-day average 204,211
Currently Hospitalized
128,210 Current level
> 7-day average 125,387
Jan. 4: GA Senate Polls & Odds
January 4, 2021> GOP Holding slim lead in betting markets, but the odds have narrowed considerably.
> Dems holding slim lead in latest polls
> Dow, S&P and NASDAQ down (~.5%) in Monday’s trading
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PredictIt Betting Market
Betting markets indicating 55-45 chance that at least one of the GOP candidates will win …. down from 73-29 two weeks ago and 63-37 last week
What will be the balance of power in
Congress after the 2020 election?
Will Democrats win the White House,
Senate and House in 2020?
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RCP Poll-of-Polls
Note: Latest poll was on Dec. 29
Ossoff leading by 1 point.
Warnock leading by 2 points
Jan.4: COVID Data Dashboard
January 4, 2021360,071 Deaths-to-Date
1,380 Daily New Deaths (peak 3,156 Dec. 9)
> 7-day average 2,705 (peak 2,805 Dec. 23)
Confirmed Cases
191,724 New Cases
> 7-day average 204,895
Currently Hospitalized
125,544 Current level
> 7-day average 124,390
NEW: COVID Vaccine Dashboard
January 3, 2021Including links for US & State data
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Source: CDC
Update: 1/2/2021
U.S. Total
Doses Distributed 13,071,925
Doses Inoculated 4,225,756
% Doses Used 32.3%
Inoculations / Day 715,584
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Notes:
- Primary data source is CDC
- CDC aggregates states’ reporting which is lagged and often incomplete … so, numbers are “at least” numbers
- “Doses Distributed” are those received by the individual states for subsequent redistribution to inoculation sites
- “Doses Inoculated” are shots administered. This is the key number to watch.
- “% Doses Used” is an indicator of distribution “local efficiency” … actually getting the vaccine administered to patients
- “Inoculations / Day” is the average daily “throughput” between reporting dates.
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Data source links & samples are below…
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Top Line Data
Penetration by state
The darker the shade of of blue, the higher is the state’s sots administered per 100,000 population.
State by state data
Move the cursor over over the map to get each state’s data. For example:
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Washington Post Vaccination Tracker
Scroll down to “Jump to State” selection box.
For example:
Dec. 31: COVID Data Dashboard
December 31, 2020350,778 Deaths-to-Date
3,880 Daily New Deaths (peak 3,156 Dec. 9)
> 7-day average 2,372 (peak 2,805 Dec. 23)
Confirmed Cases
234,550 New Cases
> 7-day average 170,817
Currently Hospitalized
125,220 Current level
> 7-day average 120,902
Dec. 30: COVID Data Dashboard
December 30, 2020346,579 Deaths-to-Date
3,398 Daily New Deaths (peak 3,156 Dec. 9)
> 7-day average 2,314 (peak 2,805 Dec. 23)
Confirmed Cases
194,860 New Cases
> 7-day average 170,289
Currently Hospitalized
124,876 Current level
> 7-day average 120,078
Dec. 29: COVID Data Dashboard
December 29, 2020343,182 Deaths-to-Date
1,966 Daily New Deaths (peak 3,156 Dec. 9)
> 7-day average 2,344 (peak 2,805 Dec. 23)
Confirmed Cases
186,296 New Cases
> 7-day average 167,239
Currently Hospitalized
121,235 Current level
> 7-day average 119,089
Dec. 28: COVID Data Dashboard
December 28, 2020341,138 Deaths-to-Date
1,215 Daily New Deaths (peak 3,156 Dec. 9)
> 7-day average 2,324 (peak 2,805 Dec. 23)
Confirmed Cases
127,740 New Cases
> 7-day average 169,122
Currently Hospitalized
117,344 Current level
> 7-day average 117,517
Dec. 24: COVID Data Dashboard
December 24, 2020334,174 Deaths-to-Date
3,357 Daily New Deaths (peak 3,156 Dec. 9)
> 7-day average 2,805 (peak 2,805 Dec. 23)
Confirmed Cases
230,855 New Cases
> 7-day average 203,912
Currently Hospitalized
119,463 Current level
> 7-day average 115,503
Dec. 23: COVID Data Dashboard
December 23, 2020330,384 Deaths-to-Date
2,936 Daily New Deaths (peak 3,156 Dec. 9)
> 7-day average 2,766 (peak 2,766 Dec. 22)
Confirmed Cases
173,511 New Cases
> 7-day average 205,682
Currently Hospitalized
115,351 Current level
> 7-day average 113,912
Dec. 22: COVID Data Dashboard
December 22, 2020326,771 Deaths-to-Date
1,840 Daily New Deaths (peak 3,156 Dec. 9)
> 7-day average 2,680 (peak 2,680 Dec. 21)
Confirmed Cases
199,473 New Cases
> 7-day average 208,994
Currently Hospitalized
115,351 Current level
> 7-day average 113,912
Dec. 21: COVID Data Dashboard
December 21, 2020324,869 Deaths-to-Date
1,414 Daily New Deaths (peak 3,156 Dec. 9)
> 7-day average 2,630 (peak 2,630 Dec. 20)
Confirmed Cases
183,223 New Cases
> 7-day average 207,751
Currently Hospitalized
113,663 Current level
> 7-day average 113,235
Dec. 20: COVID Data Dashboard
December 20, 2020323,404 Deaths-to-Date
2,559 Daily New Deaths (peak 3,156 Dec. 9)
> 7-day average 2,617 (peak 2,617 Dec. 19)
Confirmed Cases
189,650 New Cases
> 7-day average 208,420
Currently Hospitalized
113,929 Current level
> 7-day average 112,818
![image_thumb[6]](https://homafiles.info/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/image_thumb6.png "image_thumb[6]")
Dec. 19: COVID Data Dashboard
December 19, 2020320,345 Deaths-to-Date
2,794 Daily New Deaths (peak 3,156 Dec. 9)
> 7-day average 2,510 (peak 2,572 Dec. 17)
Confirmed Cases
254,680 New Cases
> 7-day average 212,798
Currently Hospitalized
114,237 Current level
> 7-day average 110,945
The Homa Files 