Archive for October 29th, 2012

Maybe I was too pessimistic on Ohio …

October 29, 2012

Last week  I said “Romney hasn’t led in any Ohio polls.

Strike that, as of today.

Most recent Rasmussen poll has Romney up by 2 points, and hitting the magic 50% number.

While Rasmussen is typically thought to lean right, it was the most accurate poll in the 2008 election … more on that tomorrow.

PS Have you noticed the media burst today re: Wisconsin as the new Ohio?  For the record, HomaFiles was on that one last Friday … ahead of the curve.

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BLS may delay Friday employment report … are you kidding me?

October 29, 2012

I guess when the announcement went out that”only essential Federal employees need report”, the folks at the BLS rolled over and went back to sleep.

According to the WSJ

“… government statisticians and others may not be able complete the preparation of the jobs report before scheduled release time later this week.due to the weather and associated power outages and transportation disruptions.”

Why do I not find this surprising?

Memo to BLS: Get your stupid butts to the office, order a stack of pizzas, and crank until the gov’t emergency generators stop cranking power to your computers.

Somebody pass to the word to Jack Welch, ok?

Trick question: How many electoral votes does Romney need to become President?

October 29, 2012

If you answered  270  … you’re wrong.

The correct answer is 269.

And, if Romney prevails with 269 electoral votes, there’s a quirky possibility that Biden could be his VP.

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What if Obama & Romney tie at 269 ?

Given the 2012 swing states, it is unlikely , but mathematically possible for Obama and Romney to each win 269 electoral votes.

As we’ve posted before, a tie would be resolved in the House (for President) and in the Senate (for Vice President).

Practically every pundit and pollster is predicting that the GOP will win a majority of states in the House.

  • Important technical note: the new House & Senate get sworn in on January 3rd source and hold a joint session on January 6th to “count and announces the results of the Electoral College vote” source

So, in the case of a tie, the House would pick the President … and, assuming that the GOP wins the House, Romney wins with 269 electoral votes

* * * * *
What about the Vice Presidency ?

Remember, the Senate picks the VP.

I’d been assuming that the Senate would certify Ryan if there was a tie … regardless of whether Dems or GOP win the Senate

I overlooked a major factor: the Vice President also holds another postion — President of the Senate.

That’s a largely ceremonial role … except that the VP votes to breaks ties in Senate votes.

That’s why things get interesting.

* * * * *
What if the Senate-elect is tied 50-50

If there’s a tie and the GOP wins the Senate … Ryan gets the VP slot.

If the Dems win the Senate by a couple of seats, my bet is that they would allow Ryan to prevail rather than set-up a ridiculous Romney-Biden pairing.

After all, Romney would just deploy Joe to supermarket openings and state funerals.

But,if the Senate-elect is split 50-50, then the VP slot becomes very meaningful.

Remember that the VP is the President of the Senate and votes to break ties.

Here’s a quirk: Biden – as sitting VP – would get a vote on who wins – him or Ryan.

And, in a 50-50 Senate, there are likely to be a lot of ties … making the President of the Senate position very important.

So, you gotta expect that Biden would vote for himself – as VP – but, more meaningfully, as President of the Senate.

Bingo.  A Romney-Biden scenario.

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Make ‘you’ your favorite brand …

October 29, 2012

Punch line: In today’s competitive job market, professionals must create a personal brand to stand out in the crown.  Using the traditional 4 P’s as a framework can help you develop a killer personal brand.

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Excerpted from mashable.com’s, “How to Create a Killer Personal Branding Campaign”

Call it self-marketing, personal branding, professional development, or any other buzzword you’d like. In any case, both finding a job and climbing the career ladder are all about investing in the business of you.

personal-branding

As a professional, you are a brand unto yourself.

The target market for the unique value you provide are employers who are constantly bombarded with messages from your competitors and always on the lookout for innovation.

Though the boundaries of traditional marketing no longer exist due to online media and new digital technologies, its core tactics can be reworked to guide your self-marketing strategy online.

  • Product: Be Consistent and Recognizable.  You must determine who you are as a professional and build a personal brand around your core strengths, skills and experience. What do you bring to the table that others in your industry do not?
  • Price: Know Your Value.  In addition to accounting for the value you add to an organization, you must decide what you are worth and what your bottom line is.
  • Place: Recognize Your Niche.  As a professional, you are only one person. Thus, it’s critical that you select a sphere of influence and stick with it, though it could be based on industry or knowledge base as much as geography.
  • Promotion: Communicate Your Brand.  How will you communicate your messages to the market you’ve targeted? Selecting the appropriate mediums means the difference between being heard loud and clear or getting lost in the clutter.

Whether you’re looking for a job or desire to be considered an expert in your industry, you can meet your objectives by building a brand around yourself — effectively leaving a memorable first impression and making people want to learn more about you.

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