We’re talking higher long-run capitalizations, not trading profits.
Over the period 1983 to 2007, the S&P increased more than 7-fold. but …
According to Longboard Asset Management, over the period 1983 to 2007:
- 40% of stocks lost value
- 19% lost at least three-quarters of their value
- 64% underperformed the market
- 25% were responsible for all the market’s gains.
Conclusion: Statistically, successful stock-picking is more about avoiding awful investments than finding good ones.
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P.S. Tell me that you can look at the last 15 years on the above chart and not feel a little queasy about where the market is these days.
It sure looks like a pattern to me …
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