Archive for August 3rd, 2020

Have Covid cases peaked?

August 3, 2020

Let’s drill down on some numbers today…
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For the past 2 or 3 weeks, the number of new cases reported each day seems to have peaked … maybe plateaued, maybe turned the corner and is starting to decline.

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Over the same time period, the daily death rate has trended up from its previous trough … or, as the MSM media likes to say “in recent weeks, the daily death rate has catastrophically doubled from 500 per day to over 1,000 per day”.

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Putting those numbers into context, the daily case counts have more than doubled since the prior peak in mid-April … while daily deaths have hovered around 50% of their mid-April level.

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In numbers: New cases were running at about 30,000 per day in mid-April … and there were over 2,000 new deaths each day … a ratio of deaths to cases of about 6.7%.

During the recent spike, cases have been running at about 60,000 per day … and  new deaths each day have been averaging about 1,000  … a ratio of deaths to cases of about 1.7%.

That’s a 75% drop in the deaths to cases rate.

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Keep a watchful eye on the daily death rate …

Aug.3: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 3, 2020

158,365  Deaths-to-Date

467 Daily New Deaths    (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,126   (peak 2.229 April 23)

49,038  New Cases
> 7-day average    62,880

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Details below…

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