Archive for August 28th, 2020

The odds have shifted !

August 28, 2020

RealClearPolitics (RCP) tracks betting odds at 6 live betting “books”.

At the end of July, the RCP Betting Odds had Biden up 24 over Trump — 61 to 37.

By the start of the Democratic Convention, Biden’s advantage had narrowed to 12 … 56 to 43.

Coming out of the conventions, Biden’s lead is down to 6 … 53 to 47.

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Let the games begin.

“Science” takes another u-turn…

August 28, 2020

CDC covid testing guidance goes from haphazard to ass-backwards
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Earlier this week, the CDC revised its guidelines for covid testing.

For background, the CDC categorized people into “five populations” for which COVID-19 testing may be appropriate:

  1. Individuals with signs or symptoms consistent with COVID-19 (“aka “symptomatics”)
  2. Asymptomatic individuals with recent known or suspected exposure to COVID-19 (e.g. in close contact for more than 15 minutes with an infected person; living in a high COVID-19 transmission area;  having  attended a public or private gathering of more than 10 people (without widespread mask wearing or physical distancing)
  3. Asymptomatic individuals without known or suspected exposure in special settings (e.g. frontline medical personnel and nursing home caregivers)
  4. Individuals being tested to determine resolution of infection (e.g. to establish a safe return to work after a prior positive test)
  5. Individuals being tested for purposes of public health surveillance (e.g. to determine the prevalence of COVID-19 in a targeted locale such as an apparent hot spot city or campus)

The CDC previously recommended testing for people in categories in the first 3 categories.

Here’s the big change to the CDC guidance … and why it’s wacky.

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Aug. 28: C-19 Data Dashboard

August 28, 2020

184,433  Deaths-to-Date

780 Daily New Deaths  (peak 2,824 April 21)
> 7-day average 1,001    (peak 2.229 April 23)

36,713  New Cases
> 7-day average  40,700

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Details below…

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